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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Columbus Crew vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No-$3,994.42
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$1,885.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$1,457.78

  • Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Cloud9
    Won
    Cloud9
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    UNO MILLE
    Won
    BORRACHEIROS
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?

    Right

    Astra

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$119.45
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$40.16
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$39.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FUT Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FUT Esports
    Won
    FUT Esports
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      FUT Esports+$417.73
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      FUT Esports+$374.95
    • S
      antecLast traded
      FUT Esports+$263.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$158.18
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$108.78
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$48.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$106.65
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$39.14
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$10.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$62.84
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$51.77
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$17.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cercle Brugge win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$1,000
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$895.53
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$595.70

  • Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$2,114.11
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$602.85
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      No+$533.18

  • Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Esports
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dorado Gaming
    Won
    Dorado Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$57.43
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$56.58
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Down+$47.40

  • Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$520
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$421.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$407.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Athletics-$910.20
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$246.75
    • S
      betdgeLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$97.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$186.96
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$139.50
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$128.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$27.67
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$24.53
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$23.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sherlockhomieLast traded
      Down-$102.01
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$74.89
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$67.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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