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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$3,791.62
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$2,726.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$750.92

  • Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ECHO
    Won
    ECHO
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under-$2,774.37
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under-$1,316.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,088.29

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Eternal Fire
    Won
    Eternal Fire
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,364.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,338.25
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No-$642.84

  • Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-07?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,716.95
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$1,515.27
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Under+$859.43

  • Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ilbirs eSports
    Won
    Ilbirs eSports
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Imperial
    Won
    Imperial
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Under-$1,250
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over+$826.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$630.73

  • LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Maryville University
    Won
    Maryville University
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Northampton Town FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$347.74
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$170.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$146.11

  • Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MEPPLast traded
      Yes-$552.41
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      No+$0.97
    • A
      M2sx92kljs42Last traded
      No+$1,531.45

  • Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JackybrownLast traded
      Yes-$69.60
    • A
      dz1ftLast traded
      Yes-$64.61
    • A
      PrexpectLast traded
      No+$38.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$96.71
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$51.31
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$32.94
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$21.15
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$14.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$41.12
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$34.70
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$23.34

  • Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$8,950.13
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,792.65
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      No+$1,248

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    1WIN
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$2,913.58
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under-$2,204.30
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Under-$204.61

  • Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,767.18
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,612.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$754.24

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,274.23
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Over+$1,595.86
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over+$1,179.55

  • FC Cincinnati vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Indiana Fever
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG
    Won
    NRG
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,737.75
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$657.38
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$426.40

  • Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$517.97
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$517.48
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$499.28

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,213.29
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under+$1,190.46
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Under+$445.60

  • Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$390.79
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$129.92
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$110.25

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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