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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$775.53
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$309.39
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$151.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$58.72
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$18.41
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$12.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$23.78
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$15.58
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$15.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Joel Schwaerzler
    Won
    Joel Schwaerzler
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Joel Schwaerzler+$181.65
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Joel Schwaerzler+$15.24
    • A
      Numb-RamieLast traded
      Joel Schwaerzler+$6,213.06

  • CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$463.85
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Under-$352.69
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$269.61

  • Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes-$5,613.53
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$1,191.14
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,040.99

  • Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Liquid
    Won
    Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs BoostGate Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoostGate Esports
    Won
    BoostGate Esports
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      SU Esports-$1,105.23
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      BoostGate Esports+$938.76
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      BoostGate Esports+$771.33

  • Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No Hoodwink
    Won
    No Hoodwink
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$135.30
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$38.77
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$31.03

  • Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    51%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$90.62
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$20.50
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Down+$17.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$44.85
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$39.34
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$35.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$88.32
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$11.30
    • S
      quantbarbieLast traded
      Up+$2.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Lynx
    Won
    Team Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Talvez10Last traded
      Over-$10,803.96
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Over-$1,574.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,558.17

  • Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BET-M 33
    Won
    Butterfly
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$95.44
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$59.30
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$55.63

  • Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    Bilibili Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      EDward Gaming-$5,231.11
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      EDward Gaming-$198.83
    • S
      antecLast traded
      EDward Gaming+$67.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    MI London
    Won
    Trent Rockets
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$96.31
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$15.27
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$10.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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