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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$63.24
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$28.79
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down-$24

  • Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$167.02
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$65.85
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$60.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA Esports
    Won
    FURIA Esports
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      FURIA Esports+$495.98
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      FURIA Esports+$206.65
    • S
      calculate10Last traded
      LOUD-$204.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$103.40
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$88.10
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Down+$39.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$150.75
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$67.34
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$63.13

  • UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    José Montanha
    Won
    José Montanha
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$2,052.21
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$532.81
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$512.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$131.66
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$72.54
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$50.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$223.28
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$15.95
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$11.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$7,112.24
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$5,477.78
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$1,745.48

  • Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-08?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$2,708.53
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$1,210
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$941.07

  • LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA Esports
    Won
    FURIA Esports
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$2,371.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$2,289.87
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,455.79

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$478.41
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$420
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$389.58

  • Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,339.32
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No-$530.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$437.10

  • Valorant: KeepBest Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FunPlus Phoenix
    Won
    FunPlus Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$35.57
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$34.41
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$16.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$26.77
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Up+$24.84
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$14.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EYEBALLERS
    Won
    EYEBALLERS
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LOUD
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      G2 Esports-$1,249.81
    • S
      THEHIGHLIFELast traded
      LOUD+$787.39
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      LOUD+$393.60

  • Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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