Skip to content
Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$1,901.89
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$1,727.25
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Washington Nationals+$680.35
  • Esports

    Called
    100 Thieves
    Won
    Cloud9
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

    Right

    Gemini Pro

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Yes+$3,879.83
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,747.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,577.50
  • Esports

    Called
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Won
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      johnbasterLast traded
      Deep Cross Gaming+$1,730.91
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      Deep Cross Gaming+$1,397.93
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Deep Cross Gaming+$265.32
  • Esports

    Called
    G2 Esports
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    RED Canids
    Won
    RED Canids
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      paiN Gaming-$6,673.93
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      RED Canids+$1,172.63
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      paiN Gaming-$1,016.79
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    LGD Gaming
    Won
    Anyone's Legend
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      LGD Gaming+$982.62
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      LGD Gaming-$357.27
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      LGD Gaming-$140.57
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$61.63
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$36.26
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$34.74
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    MVK Esports
    Won
    MVK Esports
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Coco Gauff
    Won
    Coco Gauff
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Maryville University
    Won
    Maryville University
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • MMA

    Called
    Juliana Miller
    Won
    Juliana Miller
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,900.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$830
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$829.99
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$28
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$28
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$25.08
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$97.35
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$85.05
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$70.19
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$353.98
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$103.87
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$79.42
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$62
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$50.58
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$36.69
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,064 more positions across 2,500 markets on this day.