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Resolution reportSaturday, August 8, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,493 right657 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
23,158
No consensus
20,008

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,013 provider closure; 11,145 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Deep Cross Gaming
    Won
    MVK Esports
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Deep Cross Gaming-$634
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Deep Cross Gaming-$544.58
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Deep Cross Gaming-$517.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    100 Thieves
    Won
    Cloud9
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      Cloud9+$2,006.17
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      Cloud9-$345.68
    • S
      The-JokerLast traded
      100 Thieves-$304.06

  • Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$8,300.07
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$1,555.62
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cleveland Guardians-$1,018.58

  • Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-07?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$168.11
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Up-$154.99
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$60.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$161.59
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Down+$52.39
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$48.04

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DN SOOPers
    Won
    DN SOOPers
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      DN SOOPers+$13,685.25
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Nongshim Red Force-$4,919.02
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Nongshim Red Force-$608

  • CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$54.21
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$39.02
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$20.01

  • Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Passion Academy
    Won
    Passion Academy
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Indiana Fever
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$249.19
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$89.32
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$64.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$67.40
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$36.24
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down-$18.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Washington Mystics
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dorado Gaming
    Won
    Dorado Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$493.48
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$173.29
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$119.52

  • Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$64.46
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$44.97
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$36.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$116.20
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$37.33
    • S
      gningdLast traded
      Up+$28.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$41.85
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$40.85
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$39.03

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$648.18
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$468.88
    • S
      eanvanezygvLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$462.99

19,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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