Resolution reportTuesday, August 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
61%
1,695 right1,067 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 11,608
- No consensus
- 8,846
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,627 provider closure; 5,981 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$94.70
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$19.32
- BclaudesportsLast tradedNo-$87.60
- Called
- GenOne
- Won
- GenOne
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 24%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- AbetterfasterstrongerLast tradedYes-$119.34
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$12.50
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$2.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$37.66
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$6.61
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo-$3.48
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$23.87
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$21.23
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$18.45
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$9.14
- Bpspspsps5Last tradedUp+$72.27
- BOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$29.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BCorlysLast tradedNo+$39.45
- Bnewbie147Last tradedNo+$26.85
- BUpmettertouLast tradedNo+$23.61
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$25.67
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$21.58
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$7.19
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedOver+$292.64
- SshoemanhereLast tradedOver+$103.61
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$59.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$192.58
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$84.53
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$57.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$141.52
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$15.43
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$2.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 90%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$16.42
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$7.64
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$4.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 68%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- APredictionYogiLast tradedNo+$3.21
- Bfa910Last tradedNo+$30.46
- BtianjiyuyunzhiluLast tradedNo+$17.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$257.71
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$56.59
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$1.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$102.81
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$21
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$13.80
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$5.67
- AohioismLast tradedUp+$70.55
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedDown-$15.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes+$152.38
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$0.20
- BLeechLordLast tradedNo-$114.51
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$12
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$11.23
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$2.71
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$63.22
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$25
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$17.49
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$4.88
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown+$1.20
- BAgropescaJacareLast tradedDown+$28.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$14.29
- Bgod83743894Last tradedYes-$58.20
- BFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedNo+$13.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$6.02
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$13.13
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$4.90
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$48.19
- AStraddleSellerLast tradedYes-$23.81
- AFridayLast tradedNo+$5.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$74.53
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$5.66
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$5.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$64.84
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$5.05
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$4.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$4.28
- B42021Last tradedYes-$101.25
- BsondinaraLast tradedNo+$23.22
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$1.85
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$1.68
- Bgod83743894Last tradedYes-$33.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedNo+$2.29
- Atheta-thunbergLast tradedYes-$133.37
- APorxLast tradedNo+$69.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aopopv.Last tradedNo+$76.28
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedNo+$16.69
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$4.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$1.68
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$1
- BWordy-BiosphereLast tradedUp+$12.21
- Called
- Noemi Basiletti
- Won
- Noemi Basiletti
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMarie Weckerle-$504.08
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNoemi Basiletti+$70.95
- A38791873984189Last tradedMarie Weckerle-$20.71
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$18.65
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedDown+$2.50
- AElated-LentilLast tradedDown+$2.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$19.02
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$6.49
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$1.18
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$27.84
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$9.87
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$0.31
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$0.41
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$1.47
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$0.76
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$43.27
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$19.24
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$9.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$39.79
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$4.90
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$4.05
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$21.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$18.86
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$12.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$2.90
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$8.02
- BCorlysLast tradedNo+$15.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- APredictionYogiLast tradedNo+$3
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$0.50
- BHugin-og-MuninLast tradedYes-$19.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$0.45
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo+$5.37
- Ayen4uLast tradedNo+$0.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$5.97
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$4.88
- BSpotless-Investigator-OvercoatLast tradedYes-$23.12
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$25.25
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$20
- BQressLast tradedYes-$103.07
- Called
- Lodis
- Won
- Lodis
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLodis+$102.07
- Apauleta23Last tradedBarcząca Esports-$67.36
- Aigot50kLast tradedLodis+$11.96
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$37.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$11.79
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$3.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$5.55
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$4.91
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$2.38
8,695 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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