Resolution reportSunday, July 12, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
60%
1,436 right943 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 7,359
- No consensus
- 4,980
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,846 provider closure; 4,513 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown+$8.12
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$8.03
- Bkarenchik1Last tradedUp-$55.69
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$17.86
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$9.24
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$9
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$2,894.82
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$868.34
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$722.39
- Called
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Won
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$5,989.67
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$943.64
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$479.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$9,098.70
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,138
- ScurieLast tradedUnder+$556.45
- Called
- TheMongolz
- Won
- TheMongolz
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedWildcard-$10,675.20
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedTheMongolz+$3,149.66
- ABlessedKaladinLast tradedWildcard-$2,270.99
Joventut vs. Unicaja
Right- Called
- Joventut
- Won
- Joventut
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnicaja-$59.02
- Aarman1969Last tradedJoventut+$16.33
- ApelikLast tradedJoventut+$1.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$195.12
- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes+$460.02
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$6.33
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$254.58
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$33.31
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$22.82
- Called
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC
- Won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedQingdao Hainiu FC+$6,810.03
- SSnakeBallLast tradedChengdu Rongcheng FC-$594.45
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedChengdu Rongcheng FC-$61.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$357.45
- AfiankeeLast tradedDown+$147.25
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$22.11
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$1,478.06
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$358.52
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$33.20
- Called
- BIG
- Won
- BIG
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBIG+$580
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedBIG+$281.80
- SDonkooLast tradedB8-$114.85
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$632.37
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$485.64
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$481.28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNo+$633.94
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedYes-$13.50
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$99.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 24%
- Called
- Wild
- Won
- Wild
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAvalanche-$1,186.41
- Sndb1Last tradedWild+$1,078.19
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedAvalanche-$71.94
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$244.67
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$3.09
- Bsixx7Last tradedDown+$261.11
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$37.22
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedUnder+$34.47
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$24.63
- Called
- Carlos Maria Zarate
- Won
- Carlos Maria Zarate
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedCarlos Maria Zarate+$29.11
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCarlos Maria Zarate+$23.05
- A0xc07Last tradedCarlos Maria Zarate+$1,059.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$756
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$65.89
- SantecLast tradedNo-$29.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDonkooLast tradedOver+$1,000.01
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$806.41
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$50.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqwe258Last tradedYes+$2.42
- AkyIiandictadorLast tradedYes+$35.31
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes+$1.95
- Called
- Mensik
- Won
- Mensik
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABagwell306Last tradedMensik+$464.43
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedRublev-$369.85
- AElated-LentilLast tradedMensik+$1.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$25.76
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$21.50
- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$114
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$133.75
- StjaLast tradedYes+$28
- AHakei.Last tradedYes+$169.22
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes+$80.05
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$31.16
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$30.76
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJnStrtPrdctnMrktsLast tradedNo+$1,920.41
- AtimetowanderLast tradedYes-$226.85
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes-$19.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$37.81
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$22.40
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$13.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$199.73
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$155.88
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$87.05
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 12%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$28.07
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$11.31
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$10.26
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes+$31.73
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$29.55
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$9.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$170.90
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$10.12
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp-$160.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$8.09
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$5.19
- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$3.42
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$161.40
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$134.91
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$26.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$23.08
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$8.43
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$8.15
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$276.33
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$166.60
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$146.07
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes+$20.63
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$14.31
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$2.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$16.70
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$4.91
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$0.70
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$26.55
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$13.31
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$7.01
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown-$72.98
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$37.14
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$25.31
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$38.27
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$13.36
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$13.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$41.36
- ABland-DynamiteLast tradedYes-$15.67
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$14.33
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$500.43
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$67.84
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$46.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$76.55
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$32.93
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$8.82
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- StjaLast tradedNo+$29.93
- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$35.92
- AContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedNo+$23.22
- Called
- Worcestershire
- Won
- Worcestershire
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedWorcestershire+$187.71
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedWorcestershire+$134.18
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSomerset-$20.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$140.11
- SJest55Last tradedNo+$122.16
- SshoemanhereLast tradedNo+$5.57
4,860 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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