Resolution reportSunday, July 12, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
60%
1,436 right943 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 7,359
- No consensus
- 4,980
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,846 provider closure; 4,513 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Phoenix Mercury
- Won
- Las Vegas Aces
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SInferior-TrafficLast tradedPhoenix Mercury-$4,380.73
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedLas Vegas Aces+$1,384.83
- SwapolLast tradedLas Vegas Aces+$1,167.36
- Called
- Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Won
- Madison Brengle
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAna Sofia Sanchez-$3,575.83
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAna Sofia Sanchez-$958.96
- STRCMLast tradedAna Sofia Sanchez-$523.09
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes-$8,638.81
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$1,254.57
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$703.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$2,620.81
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$2,533.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$2,067.62
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$2,344.74
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$329.53
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$181.35
- Called
- Honvéd
- Won
- Honvéd
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedHonvéd+$3,665.68
- SantecLast tradedInner Circle Academy-$60.75
- AJohnLKellyJrLast tradedInner Circle Academy-$4,540.28
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$391.63
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$24.90
- AfiankeeLast tradedDown+$1,584.62
- Called
- Senators
- Won
- Hurricanes
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSenators-$756.43
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedSenators-$486.40
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSenators-$167.87
- Called
- Baltimore Orioles
- Won
- Baltimore Orioles
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBaltimore Orioles+$1,937.98
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBaltimore Orioles+$850
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedBaltimore Orioles+$168
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes+$295.70
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$72.35
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$5.91
- Called
- Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
- Won
- Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedHANJIN BRION Challengers-$285.61
- SnewwmanLast tradedHanwha Life Esports Challengers+$256.65
- SMalfunction.Last tradedHanwha Life Esports Challengers+$122.14
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$331.74
- StjaLast tradedNo+$190.17
- AHakei.Last tradedYes-$312.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$235.42
- ADavidShekelLast tradedNo+$155.37
- ANotTheSharpestToolLast tradedYes-$140.05
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$904.51
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$328.69
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder-$119.74
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$871.57
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$312.39
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver-$194.67
- Called
- BESTIA
- Won
- BESTIA
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBESTIA+$383.96
- SantecLast tradedKeyd-$202.75
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBESTIA+$90.78
- Called
- Kalmar FF
- Won
- Hammarby IF
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedKalmar FF-$1,463.82
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedKalmar FF-$150.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedKalmar FF-$37.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 23%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes-$178.06
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$40.25
- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedNo+$7.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 24%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$103.56
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$19.16
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$10.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$82.60
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$44.83
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$17.33
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$878.94
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo+$1,063.51
- AkingofcoinflipsLast tradedYes-$571.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- AiutwpfalLast tradedNo+$94.51
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$78.88
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$30
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$314.10
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$201.46
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$98.06
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$658.94
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$408.90
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$55.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$9,001.54
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$262.42
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$154.91
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SS-WorksLast tradedUnder-$1,041.58
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$288.75
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$167.76
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$246.10
- AInterestingUserLast tradedYes-$3,958.78
- AtphhhLast tradedNo+$26.94
- Called
- SS Lazio
- Won
- Pisa SC
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSS Lazio-$1,554.51
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedPisa SC+$93.91
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedSS Lazio-$56.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$817.25
- ScurieLast tradedNo+$255.81
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$215.45
- Called
- Gentle Mates
- Won
- Nongshim RedForce
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedGentle Mates-$47.08
- AcruzNBALast tradedGentle Mates-$4,920.77
- ABlack-FacilityLast tradedGentle Mates-$58.85
- Called
- Washington Freedom
- Won
- San Francisco Unicorns
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedWashington Freedom-$48.52
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWashington Freedom-$33.17
- Amidwicket72Last tradedWashington Freedom-$3,816.71
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$285.49
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$271.86
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$271.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbernardbulletinLast tradedYes+$176.93
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedYes+$177.99
- ALolakisLast tradedYes+$93.37
- Called
- Angers SCO
- Won
- Angers SCO
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedStade Rennais FC 1901-$6,779.49
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedAngers SCO+$625
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedStade Rennais FC 1901-$115.11
- Called
- Contra
- Won
- Fuego
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedContra-$629.53
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedContra-$192.60
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedFuego+$34.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$230.32
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$76.55
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$22.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$36.02
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$17.55
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$3.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$107.39
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$32.27
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$17.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$71.53
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$69.83
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$11.23
- Called
- Philip Sekulic
- Won
- Philip Sekulic
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- STRCMLast tradedMaximus Jones-$87.50
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMaximus Jones-$74.68
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPhilip Sekulic+$41.49
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$122.92
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$24.48
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$19.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$78.96
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$35.41
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$17.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$54.90
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$54.58
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$85.08
- AeasypredictLast tradedNo+$43.80
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes-$24.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$57.51
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$28.98
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$25.27
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$88.52
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$39.66
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$35.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$55.71
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$32.43
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$2.56
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$356.62
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$62.99
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$43.07
4,860 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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