Resolution reportFriday, July 10, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
4,913 right2,285 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 15,739
- No consensus
- 8,541
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,768 provider closure; 12,971 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Washington Nationals
- Won
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedWashington Nationals-$406.74
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedWashington Nationals-$392.34
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedWashington Nationals-$322.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedUnder+$1,255.03
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$1,238.06
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$1,034.22
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$3,261.82
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedUnder-$520
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$477.98
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$2,309.98
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$608.53
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$552.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 35%
- Called
- Simona Waltert
- Won
- Simona Waltert
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSimona Waltert+$1,495.79
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSimona Waltert+$1,413.58
- SRN1Last tradedSimona Waltert+$1,132.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedOver+$208.96
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$100.60
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$15.32
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver+$2,405.93
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$793.97
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$508.44
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes+$344.42
- A0010001000001100Last tradedNo-$3,811.96
- AFumbling-StatusLast tradedYes+$33.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$292.15
- Apuipui2486Last tradedYes-$267.42
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$95.38
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$168.73
- Stopogrupo1Last tradedYes-$23.12
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$3.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$4,206.17
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$3,134.64
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$539.28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$899.51
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$453.67
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$5.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 66%
- Called
- STATE
- Won
- STATE
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity-$1,491.76
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedSTATE+$1,438.47
- AdicekingLast tradedSTATE+$3,115.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$218.52
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$34.94
- ACannaeLast tradedNo+$855.95
- Called
- Oilers
- Won
- Oilers
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOilers+$305.30
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedOilers+$301.84
- SRN1Last tradedBlackhawks-$56.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- A5f5aLast tradedNo+$303.33
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$41.71
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes-$11.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$3,664.97
- AelPolloLocoLast tradedNo+$153.16
- AComTruiseLast tradedNo+$85.83
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scoinman2Last tradedDown-$1,601.93
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedDown-$1,465.08
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$33.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$831.69
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$292.82
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$3.32
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$283.98
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$178.54
- SNM-PLast tradedYes+$9.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$2,470.59
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$2,219.95
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedYes+$81.45
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,410.10
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$197.68
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$60.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$2,389.48
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,890.06
- ACannaeLast tradedNo+$2,425.60
- Called
- Pipsqueak+4
- Won
- Pipsqueak+4
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- AoneheadedtigerLast tradedPipsqueak+4+$448.83
- AeanvanezygvLast tradedPipsqueak+4+$300.90
- AUp0nlyLast tradedPipsqueak+4+$259.86
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saenews2Last tradedYes+$10.64
- Acry.eth2Last tradedYes+$886.95
- AshovelingdiggingLast tradedYes+$260.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$746.67
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$4.32
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedNo-$2.85
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$18.14
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$391.71
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$116.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$213.32
- ALondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$592.80
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$283.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedYes-$192
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$43.36
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$4.13
- Called
- Cavaliers
- Won
- Pacers
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPacers+$315.92
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedCavaliers-$133.46
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCavaliers-$121.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$69.42
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes+$98.80
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$42.75
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SeasyclapLast tradedNo-$1,128.78
- AgobblewobbleLast tradedNo-$1,089.43
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$419.63
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 16%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$288.40
- AitsallupnowLast tradedYes-$4,066.82
- ACar-cLast tradedNo+$676.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$828.95
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$826.95
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$76.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$106.28
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$21.18
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$6.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$395.16
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedNo+$50.64
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$9.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown-$136.17
- ALiquidifierLast tradedDown-$1,920.92
- AsuperstonksbroLast tradedUp+$1,271.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$341.20
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$57.49
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$54.01
- Called
- Rune Eaters
- Won
- Omega
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedRune Eaters-$392.65
- SwapolLast tradedOmega+$0.58
- A239393828Last tradedRune Eaters-$351.54
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$57.70
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedUp+$26.72
- AStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$0.69
- Called
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$332.63
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$105.49
- ScurieLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$85.18
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$800.70
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$709.37
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$94.14
- Called
- Yawara Esports
- Won
- Yawara Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYawara Esports+$39.74
- SantecLast tradedYawara Esports+$27.11
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYawara Esports+$15.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedNo+$45.51
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo+$18.16
- ASusanWarrenHRLast tradedNo+$485.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$548.75
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$21.09
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$12.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmombilLast tradedYes+$157.72
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$9.30
- ADragontreeLast tradedYes+$507.65
- Called
- Marta Kostyuk
- Won
- Marta Kostyuk
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMarta Kostyuk+$205.06
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedMarta Kostyuk+$4.14
- AEulhunterLast tradedMarta Kostyuk+$86.70
8,131 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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