Resolution reportSunday, July 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
5,733 right2,670 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,426
- No consensus
- 8,023
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 3,422 provider closure; 13,004 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$33.31
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$20.23
- AElated-LentilLast tradedDown+$15.07
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 18%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$183.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.43
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$18.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- AthoodrLast tradedNo+$0.86
- BopopvLast tradedNo+$14.57
- BNewBuildingXLast tradedYes-$13.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$10.01
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$7.33
- Bdij1Last tradedYes-$32.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$49.51
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.69
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedNo+$0.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$31.37
- Aus391Last tradedYes-$310.92
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$143.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$23.86
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$12.42
- APredictionYogiLast tradedNo+$0.09
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$28.55
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$21.92
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$10.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes+$65.82
- Aopopv.Last tradedNo-$57.08
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$22.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$78.59
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$8.05
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$7.39
- Called
- Nottingham Forest FC
- Won
- Nottingham Forest FC
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNottingham Forest FC+$1,201.35
- SshoemanhereLast tradedNottingham Forest FC+$74.48
- AsentrioLast tradedChelsea FC-$167.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$25,967.82
- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$23.66
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$5.81
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$5,219.53
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,205.89
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$340.97
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$16,730.02
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,189.73
- Sqwe258Last tradedUnder+$3.89
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedTampa Bay Rays+$7,938.63
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$329.52
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$287.32
- Called
- Houston Astros
- Won
- Houston Astros
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHouston Astros+$1,084.71
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedHouston Astros+$769.97
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedHouston Astros+$479.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$3,355.65
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$61.94
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$19.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$17.31
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$539.55
- AZhangMuZhi..Last tradedYes-$226.81
- Called
- Aston Villa FC
- Won
- Aston Villa FC
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAston Villa FC+$1,644.18
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedAston Villa FC+$724.06
- SshoemanhereLast tradedAston Villa FC+$118.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$371.98
- AUnacceptable-Crop-SpotlightLast tradedNo-$3,147.86
- A0010001000001100Last tradedNo-$609.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 76%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$6,489.46
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$58.48
- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$12.21
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKansas City Royals+$3,761.65
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKansas City Royals+$3,734.44
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago White Sox-$294.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedNo-$251.40
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$172
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$8.57
- Called
- Washington Nationals
- Won
- Washington Nationals
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedWashington Nationals+$3,556.49
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBaltimore Orioles-$3,011.52
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedWashington Nationals+$276
- Called
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Won
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SshoemanhereLast tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$33.61
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$0.75
- AsbimbgLast tradedValencia CF-$67.16
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$2,369.14
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$288.54
- SfortunekingLast tradedUnder-$232.31
- Called
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Won
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPhiladelphia Phillies+$2,512.86
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedPhiladelphia Phillies+$1,990.98
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAthletics-$727.65
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$261.70
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$246.63
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$28.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedYes+$5,130.76
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes+$1,246.36
- Aftrxc64afnLast tradedYes+$435.05
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver-$120.82
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$114.10
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOver-$156.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedNo-$135.59
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$88.77
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$35.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$1,159.78
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$207.04
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$119.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- AspartachioLast tradedNo-$1,457.13
- AForAndWithYouLast tradedNo-$590.63
- AUlamTriXLast tradedNo-$50.12
- Called
- Spirit
- Won
- Spirit
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedThe Huns Esports-$54.80
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedSpirit+$54.49
- AwokerjoesleeperLast tradedSpirit+$195.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scoinman2Last tradedYes+$2,703.85
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$22.26
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes+$155.28
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,106.46
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder-$849.59
- AJhonAlexanderHinestrozaLast tradedOver+$3,624.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$406.54
- Aftrxc64afnLast tradedYes+$402.53
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedNo-$200.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedNo+$272.78
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$2.92
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$1.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$508.92
- AleCommissaireLast tradedYes+$224.88
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$5.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$1,965.38
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$227.36
- Stopogrupo1Last tradedYes+$7.69
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$264.18
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$153.57
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedNo+$0.20
- Called
- MOUZ
- Won
- MOUZ
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedMOUZ+$33.04
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMOUZ+$12.38
- SantecLast tradedMOUZ+$4.65
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$826.72
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$154.95
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$15.36
- Called
- Ivan Marrero
- Won
- Ivan Marrero
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedElijah Sanogo-$794.86
- STRCMLast tradedIvan Marrero+$308.72
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedIvan Marrero+$46.34
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,222.28
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedOver+$42.78
- ACannaeLast tradedUnder-$681.43
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$642.46
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes-$585.06
- Apuipui2486Last tradedYes-$97.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$11.99
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$8.30
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$1.06
7,561 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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