Resolution reportMonday, June 15, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
68%
3,083 right1,472 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 8,443
- No consensus
- 3,888
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 2,501 provider closure; 5,942 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaptainCoinflipLast tradedNo+$371.25
- AJAMJAMJAM4Last tradedNo+$139.75
- AleCommissaireLast tradedNo+$88.03
- Called
- Voca
- Won
- Voca
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedVoca+$971.52
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedVoca+$14
- AsentrioLast tradedVoca+$196.28
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,671.56
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$120.76
- AJhonAlexanderHinestrozaLast tradedOver-$5,002.37
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$38.77
- AtphhhLast tradedYes+$20.02
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$17.72
- Called
- Federico Arnaboldi
- Won
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedFederico Arnaboldi-$880.10
- STRCMLast tradedFederico Arnaboldi-$33.58
- StradecraftLast tradedCarlo Alberto Caniato+$3.50
- Called
- Washington Nationals
- Won
- Washington Nationals
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedMiami Marlins-$555
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedMiami Marlins-$125.80
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedWashington Nationals+$27.96
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$3,716.67
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$1,776.52
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$1,734.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown-$1,776.84
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$39.71
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$9.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$82.86
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$28.02
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$6.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedDown+$11.83
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedDown+$2,138.17
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedDown+$417.23
- Called
- Team Secret Whales
- Won
- Team Secret Whales
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming-$54.24
- SantecLast tradedTeam Secret Whales+$30.74
- AHard-WrongLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming-$812.95
- Called
- Nigma Galaxy
- Won
- Nigma Galaxy
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SminjiLast tradedNigma Galaxy+$83.81
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedNigma Galaxy+$69.84
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedNigma Galaxy+$68.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$39.07
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$29.75
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$25.52
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$74.87
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$30.91
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$17.77
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- AiutwpfalLast tradedYes+$885.25
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$678.43
- AaviatoLast tradedYes+$99.48
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$159.75
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$19.68
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$3.48
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 95%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$70.93
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$34.05
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$29.53
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$111.30
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$30
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$15.21
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedDown-$91.71
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$14.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$8.65
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$170.49
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$64.46
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$36.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedYes+$245.81
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedYes+$23.80
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedYes+$66.43
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$105.98
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$17.92
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$7.39
- Called
- Yawara Esports
- Won
- Yawara Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYawara Esports+$460.16
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedYawara Esports+$74.26
- SantecLast tradedYawara Esports+$47.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$7.38
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$81
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$33.29
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,469.63
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$1,290.49
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$503.01
- Won
- Guillaume Dalmasso
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine-$567.02
- StradecraftLast tradedConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine-$255.98
- SRN1Last tradedConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine-$144.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$265.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$24.02
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$18.30
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$3.70
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$46.47
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown-$26.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- AtruthtellerLast tradedNo-$92.48
- A1881aaLast tradedYes+$20.54
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$18.20
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder+$2,990.38
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,484.35
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$870
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$54.63
- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo+$4
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$0.31
- Called
- Metizport
- Won
- Metizport
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedex-RUBY-$147.72
- ABlack-FacilityLast tradedMetizport+$233.65
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedMetizport+$85.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$12.59
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$3.92
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$0.86
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$88.91
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$34.76
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$19.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$13.68
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$11.05
- Aopopv.Last tradedYes-$0.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$364.54
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$132.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$116.44
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$81.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$17.78
- AsnoopdogeLast tradedDown-$45.55
- Called
- Baltimore Orioles
- Won
- Baltimore Orioles
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBaltimore Orioles+$470.66
- SshoemanhereLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$300.85
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBaltimore Orioles+$211.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$14.99
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$10.41
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$10.30
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedNo+$11.68
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$73.40
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$19.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$11.54
- ACar-cLast tradedYes+$190.11
- ALilybaeumLast tradedNo-$145.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 29%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$37.62
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$15.08
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$5
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$16.47
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$4.81
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedDown+$15
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder+$25,990.40
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$3,035.02
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$1,179.17
- Called
- Gustavo Heide
- Won
- Gustavo Heide
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGustavo Heide+$11,816.97
- SRN1Last tradedGustavo Heide+$2,521.52
- STRCMLast tradedGustavo Heide+$942.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHondaCivicLast tradedNo-$4,991.91
- APoligarchLast tradedYes+$343.66
- Amelchior1248Last tradedYes+$334.91
- Called
- FlyQuest
- Won
- FlyQuest
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedShopify Rebellion Black-$262.42
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedFlyQuest+$11.04
- Ajizzbucket57Last tradedFlyQuest+$5,400
- Called
- Colorado Rockies
- Won
- Colorado Rockies
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedColorado Rockies+$1,089.06
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedColorado Rockies+$511
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedColorado Rockies+$168
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,336.97
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$882.40
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$267.99
3,658 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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