Resolution reportWednesday, May 6, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 12h ago

73%

404 right146 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 2,134
No consensus: 1,584

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 705 provider closure; 1,429 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)
Right
Baseball
Called
Arizona Diamondbacks
Won
Arizona Diamondbacks
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 05:02:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  torta.techLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Pittsburgh Pirates-$231.57
- S
  HomeRunHazardLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Arizona Diamondbacks+$201.96
- A
  38791873984189Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Arizona Diamondbacks+$44.49
Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Kawasaki Frontale
Won
Tōkyō Verdy
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 14:18:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  swisstonyLast traded 26 Aug 2026
  Tōkyō Verdy+$60.57
- B
  42021Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Kawasaki Frontale-$24.13
- B
  Devoted-DrakeLast traded 5 Aug 2026
  Kawasaki Frontale-$22.29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 7?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 18:03:38 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$12.72
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.13
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 2 Fulham FC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 11:59:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  mrtrumpLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$5
- B
  AlbaneHLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$4.08
- B
  JoanLuLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 2?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 07:02:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$6
- B
  meteoblueLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.11
- B
  CorkisGeldbeutelLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.26
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 09:41:03 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$8.73
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$2.24
- B
  yarrOsfec2Last traded 4 Aug 2026
  Up-$2.25
Will MrBeast say "This Year" during his next video?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 15:14:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$6.97
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.50
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.17
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-9.5)
Right
Baseball
Called
Los Angeles Dodgers
Won
Los Angeles Dodgers
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 21:59:46 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  torta.techLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Los Angeles Dodgers+$241.20
- S
  HomeRunHazardLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Houston Astros-$234
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Los Angeles Dodgers+$1.36
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
Right
Baseball
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 21:48:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  LesterDiamondLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$5.33
- A
  MarquisDeMottLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.69
- B
  SlowroastedLast traded 27 Sept 2026
  Over+$2.50
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 06:21:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$1.20
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$13.19
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Up-$3.55
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of May 4 2026?
Right
Stocks
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 21:59:46 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Sharky6999Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.75
- A
  pennedreadfulLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$158.15
- A
  CamelUpLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$153.13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 7?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 14:18:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$7.26
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.07
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Fulham FC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 11:59:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  mrtrumpLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$3
- B
  AlbaneHLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.63
- B
  JoanLuLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$1.30
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 06:21:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$4.46
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.07
- B
  riceapplepieLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Up-$11.30
Will MrBeast say "Movie" during his next video?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 05:29:10 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  PicklePredictorLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$4.07
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.52
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
Wrong
Esports
Called
Turma do Pagode
Won
Bounty Hunters Esports
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 09:02:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RandomGameBetLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Turma do Pagode-$69.08
- A
  BookWarriorLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Bounty Hunters Esports+$61.99
- B
  kutsumiakiaLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Bounty Hunters Esports+$0.83
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winner
Right
Esports
Called
Walczaki
Won
Walczaki
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 14:55:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RandomGameBetLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Walczaki+$35.24
- B
  DefenceOfTheAssetsLast traded 30 Jun 2026
  AaB Esport-$50.77
- B
  funfactsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Walczaki+$9.40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 6?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 19:57:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$5.38
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.41
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.37
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 14:18:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.99
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$7.16
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.52
FC Cajamarca vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 15:15:35 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pelikLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.06
- B
  0x0770Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$4.09
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  Over+$0.33
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 11:29:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$3.76
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.05
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 2?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 14:55:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Jubilant-PhraseLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$17.25
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$9
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 16:06:38 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Up+$2.71
- B
  shy-blue-rockLast traded 24 Jun 2026
  Down-$13.07
- B
  ttrrysLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$7.16
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 10:29:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.51
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$9.70
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Down-$5.25
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 02:43:50 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$12.97
- B
  antsaslykuLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.62
- B
  yarrOsfec2Last traded 4 Aug 2026
  Up-$3.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5
Right
Baseball
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 15:15:35 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x0770Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$1.80
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  Over+$0.50
- B
  SlowroastedLast traded 27 Sept 2026
  Over+$0.09
Will MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 08:30:36 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  PicklePredictorLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.31
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.21
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.17
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 05:53:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.50
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$3.18
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Down-$7.48
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 6?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 15:44:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  MandelBetLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$2.03
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.60
- B
  Dreamer3bcbcd6cLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$0.37
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 01:35:34 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.90
- B
  yarrOsfec2Last traded 4 Aug 2026
  Up-$3.66
- B
  qwerty654321qwertyLast traded 29 Jul 2026
  Down+$1.11
Vitinha: Anytime Goalscorer
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 04:54:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pelikLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.05
- B
  zaedaLast traded 26 Sept 2026
  No+$0.90
- B
  crumblLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.65
Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 00:05:08 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$3.87
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.10
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Will "Vaccine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 11:29:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$3.65
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.10
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 08:03:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$2.68
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$2.45
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on May 7?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 19:57:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.40
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.39
- B
  bhuumiLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  No+$0.21
Will Santos Laguna win Liga MX?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 6 May 2026, 06:42:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  5273853Last traded 23 Sept 2026
  No+$0.43
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.27
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20

1,548 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 6,780 more positions across 493 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day

Developer docs