Resolution reportMonday, May 4, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 23h ago

71%

701 right280 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 3,808
No consensus: 2,827

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 547 provider closure; 3,261 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 03:42:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.53
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.24
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.12
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 07:12:35 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$2.27
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$18.94
- B
  sigsegLast traded 28 Jul 2026
  Up+$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 4?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 15:27:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Spanish-PerspectiveLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$3.81
- B
  Dreamer3bcbcd6cLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$0.34
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.28
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on May 3?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:15:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  NewBuildingXLast traded 25 Aug 2026
  Yes-$3.64
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
- B
  RoomserviceLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.20
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 09:50:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$1.10
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$5.69
- B
  0xe953…36ccLast traded 23 Jul 2026
  Up+$0.93
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 05:17:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$0.63
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Down-$4.74
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$0.51
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 17:46:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$3.34
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$7.92
- B
  fookLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 3?
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 02:16:38 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$6.03
- B
  TCBY6688Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.41
- B
  GoodLuck68886Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 2?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 05:24:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$4
- B
  8796b01a723066063eba805833778c276162eb9fLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$0.63
- B
  bhuumiLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  No+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:15:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  otterrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.90
- B
  neo7777Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.10
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
Ramy Bensebaini: Anytime Goalscorer
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 17:59:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.79
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  FraneSelakLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 07:40:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.95
- B
  0x80a8…f2a0Last traded 23 Jun 2026
  Up+$0.56
- B
  TheMaskLosesLast traded 11 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.51
Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 22:01:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  StudyPredictionLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.01
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.69
- B
  fElonLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.27
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 02:16:38 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  StudyPredictionLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.99
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
- B
  fElonLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.06
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Wrong
Formula 1
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 00:09:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  pasporLast traded 8 Sept 2026
  Yes-$2.86
- B
  fElonLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.37
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.24
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Right
Formula 1
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:15:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  fElonLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.81
- B
  StudyPredictionLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.10
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 21:32:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.63
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Down-$8.74
- B
  Weird-PeakLast traded 25 Jun 2026
  Up+$8.34
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 11:23:36 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  RoomserviceLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$2.29
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.38
- B
  pb7Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  No+$0.27
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 05:25:32 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$4.30
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$1.02
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Down-$7.36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 4?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 12:30:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Spanish-PerspectiveLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  No+$2.60
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.27
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 09:00:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$1.96
- B
  ohanismLast traded 10 Jul 2026
  Down+$8.59
- B
  IVY56Last traded 19 Sept 2026
  Up-$5.05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 4?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 17:59:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Happening9014Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.97
- B
  LittleBitBadBoyLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.44
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 03:01:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$4.02
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.94
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.30
T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia - Who wins the toss?
Right
Cricket
Called
Indonesia
Won
Indonesia
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 03:17:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Indonesia+$1.17
- B
  Sam.YoungLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Indonesia+$0.26
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Malaysia-$0.20
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?
No consensus
Crypto
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 12:03:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  ComTruiseLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.82
- B
  Respectful-ClanLast traded 6 Jun 2026
  Yes-$0.30
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.30
Achraf Hakimi: Anytime Goalscorer
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 12:03:20 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  zaedaLast traded 26 Sept 2026
  No+$1.25
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  crumblLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.12
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 04:46:50 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.54
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.05
- B
  976FLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.51
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 06:13:23 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$6.07
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$1.07
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 2?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 07:23:28 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$6
- B
  LittleBitBadBoyLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$4.27
- B
  Dreamer3bcbcd6cLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$0.71
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 11:25:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  drfc4eybh7i8Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.07
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up+$0.02
- B
  0x50f7Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.01
Will "Hokum" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 19:08:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.70
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.34
- B
  StonktraderLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia - Toss Match Double Malaysia Winner
Right
Cricket
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 03:33:41 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.65
- B
  Sam.YoungLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.26
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
Will Rio Ave qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 15:27:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LexmaLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$1.32
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1
- B
  Original-EternityLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$0.23
Will "Hokum" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Right
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 21:21:31 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  enderoneLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.50
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No-$0.22
- B
  StonktraderLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on April 24?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 17:59:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.05
- B
  LornaPredictsLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.28
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Will White House post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Right
Politics
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 00:09:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  loser-starLast traded 8 Sept 2026
  No+$0.35
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  tianjiyuyunzhiluLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Right
NBA
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 18:40:18 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LordofPMLast traded 4 Sept 2026
  No+$0.21
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.20
- B
  PickleRickLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:53:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  suspiciouslyLuckyLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Down+$5.21
- A
  Slow-MinuteLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.53
- B
  pspspsps5Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  Up-$5.81
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 4?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 20:13:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8fH31F8b0F56B8dFa08ELast traded 5 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.60
- B
  pb7Last traded 13 Aug 2026
  No+$1
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 2?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:33:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$4
- B
  Jubilant-PhraseLast traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$3.11
- B
  8796b01a723066063eba805833778c276162eb9fLast traded 12 Sept 2026
  No+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 3?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 4 May 2026, 01:15:01 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  LXJXLJLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Yes-$4
- B
  lo1nstLast traded 26 Jul 2026
  No+$3
- B
  BeginnersLuck2Last traded 5 Oct 2026
  No+$0.98

2,767 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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