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@Sebastien455

Expert in

First trade Jul 29, 20250x478a…62c7View on PolymarketUpdated 39d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 59th pct
Edge: 14th pct
Win Rate: 15th pct
Consistency: 48th pct
Downside Risk: 39th pct
Track Record: 62nd pct

Volume traded

$30,101.01

Predictions

106

Rank

—

Win rate

22.6%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$6.88

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-30 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

106 total

Market				To win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No positionClosed	96.8¢—	106	$103—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	196	$193—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No positionClosed	98.6¢—	102	$101—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	95.3¢—	231	$220—	—	+$0.37Timeline
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.8¢—	173	$171—	—	-$0.02Timeline
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	97.4¢—	410	$399—	—	-$0.20Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No positionClosed	3.5¢—	10,600	$371—	—	-$0.19Timeline
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	1.5¢—	36,800	$552—	—	-$0.88Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	9.1¢—	5,868	$534—	—	-$0.16Timeline
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	91.5¢—	446	$408—	—	-$0.20Timeline