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@Marcintosh

Expert in

First trade May 15, 20260x8b80…84b4View on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 36th pct
Edge: 37th pct
Win Rate: 15th pct
Consistency: 28th pct
Downside Risk: 1st pct
Track Record: 75th pct

Volume traded

$30,095.57

Predictions

253

Rank

—

Win rate

20.1%

Fees charged: $55.50
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $55.50
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$545.84

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

240 total

Market				To win
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	0.3¢0.2¢	333	$1$0.50	$333.33	-$0.50Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance No positionClosed	24.9¢—	121	$30—	—	-$30.00Timeline
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No positionClosed	2.0¢—	14,853	$298.52—	—	-$0.63Timeline
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? No positionClosed	18.4¢—	44	$8—	—	-$8.00Timeline
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? No positionClosed	1.7¢—	178	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals No positionClosed	10.0¢—	30	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals No positionClosed	2.4¢—	125	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 No positionClosed	12.0¢—	42	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance No positionClosed	24.4¢—	130	$31.66—	—	-$31.66Timeline
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? No positionClosed	14.5¢—	333	$48.28—	—	-$1.93Timeline