How the ranking works
- Recent graded activity finds upcoming games.
- Current holdings determine the backed side.
- Wallet grades, money share and one-way holdings set the order.
- 1
Recent graded activity
S, A and B wallets
- 2
Current holdings
Wallet grades · Graded-money share · One-way holdings
- 3
Ranked before kickoff
Across sports and esports
How to read a row
- Read the side first, then its graded backing.
- Sharp and All one side measure different shares.
- Live rows require Max. The sample preview uses example data.
- Sharp
- Backed-side $divided byAll graded $
- Wallets
- SABwallet counts added together
- Graded
- Backed-side dollars
- All one side
- One-way $divided byBacked-side $
What a rank is not
- A rank shows holdings, not a predicted winner.
- The study compares win rates with average prices paid.
- Any single game can go the other way.
| Grade | Settled buys | Edge | Interval lower bound | Interval upper bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S | 14,048 | +1.73 | +0.41 | +3.06 |
| A | 7,167 | +1.12 | -0.44 | +2.67 |
| B | 12,254 | -0.91 | -2.39 | +0.56 |
Frequently asked questions
What does this board show?
Upcoming Polymarket sports and esports games where S, A and B wallets hold one side of a pre-game market. The ranking weighs wallet grades, that side's share of graded money and one-way holdings across the game. Each live row shows the matchup, available team or player images, current prices, kickoff, volume, the backed side and its wallet backing.
Who can see the live board?
While Edge Hunter is experimental, Max members can see every live row. Signed-out visitors, free members and Pro members see labeled sample data, not live holdings or recommendations. Signed-out visitors can create an account, then upgrade to Max. Experimental features are included in Pro once released.
How is this different from the Pick of the Day?
The Pick of the Day publishes daily picks, sealed before kickoff and settled on the public record. It shares this board's conviction score but uses its own candidate pool and admission rules. This board shows current holdings across upcoming games and keeps no settlement record for its rows.
How is this different from the sport boards?
A sport board lists one sport's games by kickoff and shows the sharp-money split on each. This board ranks every sport's upcoming games against each other by how many graded wallets hold one side, that side's share of the graded money, and how one-way those wallets are.
How often does the board update?
The live ranked snapshot refreshes about every 3 minutes. Check Ranked at for its timestamp. The kickoff window is measured from that snapshot, so a game can remain briefly after kickoff until the next refresh drops it.
Is a high rank a prediction that the piled side wins?
No. A rank measures current graded holdings. In the all-market grade study of 79,580 settled buys, S and A grades had observed win rates 1.73 and 1.12 percentage points above their average prices paid. The chart shows the uncertainty intervals; this historical sample is not a forecast for any game.
Which horizon should I read?
The board opens on the next 48 hours. Choose 12 or 24 hours for games starting sooner. Each view uses the same ranking over its selected window.
