Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 90% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 31,585
- No consensus
- 30,216
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 27,133 provider closure; 4,452 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$1,214.90
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$1.93
- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedOver-$516.11
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$397.44
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$331.73
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$446.34
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$264.53
- ApedroBalaLast tradedUnder+$57.80
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$2.69
- SgaclfzLast tradedOver+$2.23
- ARoadto1mlesgoooLast tradedOver+$1,123.98
- Called
- Qinwen Zheng
- Won
- Qinwen Zheng
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedQinwen Zheng+$929.83
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedQinwen Zheng+$183.42
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedQinwen Zheng+$1.47
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$1,055.67
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$58.93
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$6.92
- Called
- Western Kentucky
- Won
- Western Kentucky
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedWestern Kentucky+$681.33
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMissouri State-$613.84
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWestern Kentucky+$447.82
- Called
- Buccaneers
- Won
- Buccaneers
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBuccaneers+$716.18
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedBuccaneers+$305.84
- ScurieLast tradedBuccaneers+$37.92
- Called
- Jake Delaney
- Won
- Zane Stevens
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedZane Stevens+$568.01
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJake Delaney+$128.14
- SghostorderLast tradedJake Delaney+$88
- Called
- Western Kentucky
- Won
- Western Kentucky
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWestern Kentucky+$1,468.87
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedMissouri State-$523.36
- Ahi774cLast tradedWestern Kentucky+$664.92
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$205.81
- AMurky-FallingoutLast tradedOver+$192.60
- ALightParadoxLast tradedOver+$70.76
- Called
- Maryville University
- Won
- Maryville University
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedMaryville University+$59.59
- ANaive-BladeLast tradedMaryville University+$848.51
- Aameisgoat11Last tradedMaryville University+$16.46
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$197.30
- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$151.64
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$12.55
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$19.01
- ARoadto1mlesgoooLast tradedOver+$803.67
- BEMEKATRONLast tradedOver+$46.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$1,081.58
- AEn111006Last tradedUp+$20.52
- BSwift-CensusLast tradedDown-$136.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$304.45
- SantecLast tradedYes-$14.30
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$301.59
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$535
- ASunlineTickerLast tradedUp+$252.74
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$47.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$943.09
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$302.29
- ApedroBalaLast tradedUnder+$16.37
- Called
- Al Nassr Saudi Club
- Won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAl Diraiyah Saudi Club-$548.69
- SMalfunction.Last tradedAl Nassr Saudi Club+$0.25
- ALexingtonLast tradedAl Nassr Saudi Club+$1,245.43
- Called
- WBT
- Won
- WBT
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Siii252Last tradedWBT+$610.74
- Saaaa298Last tradedWBT+$211.30
- ABookWarriorLast tradedInfinite-$21.63
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder-$29.66
- ANaive-BladeLast tradedUnder+$426.26
- AGasplantLast tradedUnder+$211.78
- Called
- Sangal
- Won
- Sangal
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- Siii252Last tradedSangal+$417.46
- Saaaa298Last tradedSangal+$339.49
- ABookWarriorLast tradedG2 Ares-$60.56
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 56%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$183.23
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$163.89
- ScurieLast tradedOver-$47.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$359.03
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$500
- ARazorSharkReturnsLast tradedOver-$306.42
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
Right- Called
- Heat
- Won
- Heat
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHeat+$522.16
- ApedroBalaLast tradedPelicans-$23.10
- AMiLiveLast tradedHeat+$20.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$41.48
- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$33.76
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$0.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedNo+$40.78
- AKimchiCapitalLast tradedYes+$28.36
- BsollydisaLast tradedYes+$472.44
- Called
- Weronika Ewald
- Won
- Zuzanna Pawlikowska
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S01258787xy48487484545122Last tradedWeronika Ewald-$344.47
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWeronika Ewald-$149.39
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedZuzanna Pawlikowska+$92.10
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$512.07
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$200.67
- Aameisgoat11Last tradedOver-$139.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- Matteo Covato
- Won
- Matteo Covato
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMatteo Covato+$196.17
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedMatteo Covato+$3.66
- A0xc07Last tradedMatteo Covato-$15.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$2.10
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedYes+$183.11
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes+$56.15
Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$157.84
- AKimchiCapitalLast tradedYes+$3.85
- BsollydisaLast tradedYes+$450.94
- Called
- Not A Squad Esports
- Won
- Not A Squad Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SdabossrealmanLast tradedNot A Squad Esports+$179.67
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedNot A Squad Esports+$155.53
- SantecLast tradedNot A Squad Esports+$98.54
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$736.67
- Sdrop1234Last tradedOver+$26.65
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder-$182.13
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 8?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$3,400.33
- STokorLast tradedYes+$816.38
- AtimetowanderLast tradedYes+$941.86
- Called
- PURE
- Won
- PURE
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saaaa298Last tradedPURE+$361.89
- Siii252Last tradedPURE+$229.94
- BDefenceOfTheAssetsLast tradedWBT-$148.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$194.34
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$545.84
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$117.33
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$281.74
- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$8.42
- BDadappleLast tradedNo+$165.06
- Called
- Cowboys
- Won
- Cowboys
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCowboys+$640.75
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedBuccaneers-$353.53
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCowboys+$58.74
- Called
- Stars
- Won
- Stars
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedStars+$1,844.90
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedStars+$29.32
- BchubbytoroLast tradedSabres-$2,094.55
- Called
- Galions
- Won
- Galions
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedGalions-$451.22
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedGalions+$13.23
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGalions+$9.10
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
Wrong- Called
- Pelicans
- Won
- Heat
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPelicans-$80.41
- BDCAAALast tradedHeat+$543.92
- BKosekiBijouLast tradedPelicans-$110
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
- Called
- SSG Landers
- Won
- SSG Landers
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Spread: UTSA (-4.5)
Wrong- Called
- South Florida
- Won
- UTSA
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSouth Florida-$348.82
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSouth Florida-$57.95
- SantecLast tradedUTSA-$5
- Called
- Cowboys
- Won
- Buccaneers
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBuccaneers+$1,049.84
- SRN1Last tradedCowboys-$750.28
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedCowboys+$2.72
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$126.81
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$4.77
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$237.75
30,178 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 8,956 more positions across 1,052 markets on this day.