Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 93% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,307
- No consensus
- 17,378
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15,857 provider closure; 2,450 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$71.53
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.41
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown-$4.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$63.59
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$10.65
- BLMVMLast tradedNo+$12.63
- Called
- Nicolas Mejia
- Won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNicolas Mejia-$68.07
- AElated-LentilLast tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo+$1.83
- BBetNovaaLast tradedJuan Manuel Cerundolo+$1.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$68.35
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$2.12
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$2.36
- BJimBobMagooLast tradedNo+$40.39
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$19.83
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKiernanMeisterLast tradedNo+$68.62
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$21.40
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$14.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$65.04
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.93
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$1.90
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedOver-$7.14
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$67.94
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$15.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$63.36
- BasyncioLast tradedDown+$7.57
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown+$0.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$54.92
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$1.01
- BpnyyLast tradedDown+$0.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bwtrader2580Last tradedNo+$26.95
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$24.62
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$0.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$53.36
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.52
- BAxiaSystemLast tradedUp+$1.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$50.80
- SRock.SanLast tradedNo+$1.52
- BCactus-001Last tradedNo+$0.45
- Called
- Penguins
- Won
- Penguins
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afatdog-012Last tradedCapitals-$130.60
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedPenguins+$82.08
- BPan9XLast tradedPenguins+$96.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$2.07
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$41.16
- BMgfkogsodfjgnosdfikjgnosduifngLast tradedNo+$4.26
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$18.34
- BulosLast tradedOver+$28.52
- BezMergeLast tradedOver+$0.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bviksha11Last tradedNo+$44.15
- BImpeccable-RoomLast tradedNo+$2.06
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo+$0.43
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- APeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedDown+$3.76
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.71
- BLIlisaxyLast tradedUp-$52.10
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$59.80
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$14.43
- BBetNovaaLast tradedOver+$0.26
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$0.05
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$43.92
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedUp+$0.08
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ADerDonLast tradedNo-$110
- ABlondBeastLast tradedYes+$62.51
- AoidocropLast tradedYes+$3.82
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$40
- BMadridTimeLast tradedOver+$2.56
- BezMergeLast tradedOver+$0.91
- Called
- Nikita Belozertsev
- Won
- Nikita Belozertsev
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNikita Belozertsev+$56.31
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedPavlos Tsitsipas-$31.82
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNikita Belozertsev+$18.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$48.73
- APeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedDown+$3.76
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.87
Al Duhail SC leading at halftime?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$640
- B0xcba9…f812Last tradedYes+$682.05
- BBetNovaaLast tradedYes+$0.37
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$21.25
- BrayvanmechelenLast tradedUnder+$19.47
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$1.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$4.49
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$3.95
- BCreamCream1215Last tradedYes-$41.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AfildoroLast tradedNo+$24.88
- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$13.20
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$2.97
- Won
- Maryville University
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedMaryville University+$125.80
- AasakkuLast tradedDisguised-$86.27
- ANaive-BladeLast tradedDisguised-$80.50
- Called
- Lavked
- Won
- Lavked
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedLavked+$39.46
- AForAndWithYouLast tradedLavked+$6.39
- ABookWarriorLast tradedFortress-$5.78
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$37.44
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$0.85
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown+$1.73
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$21.90
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$15.25
- BBetNovaaLast tradedOver+$1.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$0.46
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedUp+$28.19
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedUp+$9.67
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$20.32
- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$15.63
- BfastestclickLast tradedNo+$1.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$39.39
- APeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$7.52
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown-$4.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$10.16
- BterrordogchampionLast tradedNo+$18.61
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$5.69
- Called
- Guillaume Dalmasso
- Won
- Guillaume Dalmasso
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNoah Boutleux+$32.83
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedGuillaume Dalmasso+$1.48
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedGuillaume Dalmasso-$0.29
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$134.68
- BthenumbersmasonnLast tradedDown+$98.46
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown+$3.82
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Adv-pmLast tradedOver-$62.59
- BrayvanmechelenLast tradedUnder+$30.19
- BCactus-001Last tradedUnder+$0.12
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$3.82
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$0.03
- BTttyhLast tradedNo+$27.91
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$45.45
- APeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedDown+$0.86
- BpnyyLast tradedDown+$13.28
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$12.26
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.52
- BasyncioLast tradedUp+$17.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$4.20
- BJubilant-PhraseLast tradedNo+$33.29
- BCorkisGeldbeutelLast tradedNo+$1.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$34.29
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$2.93
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$34.17
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$2.21
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.02
- Called
- Fubon Guardians
- Won
- Fubon Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedFubon Guardians+$27.18
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedFubon Guardians+$0.72
- BC6H6Last tradedFubon Guardians+$1.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$1.75
- AgningdLast tradedUp+$38.32
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedDown-$10.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$6.19
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$21.42
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$1.09
17,335 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 6,454 more positions across 708 markets on this day.