Resolution reportTuesday, October 6, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
Being rescored
— right— wrong
All wallets: being rescored.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 27,255
- No consensus
- 25,933
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,077 provider closure; 3,178 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$121.84
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes-$44.13
- BGoodLuck68886Last tradedNo+$11.22
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$229.46
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$11.16
- BgghffLast tradedNo-$153.49
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$8.67
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$141.62
- AMaximus22Last tradedDown-$103.99
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPlatykurticLast tradedNo-$16.62
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedYes+$2.04
- BshiifooLast tradedNo-$95.36
- Called
- Ornela Luisana Mondati
- Won
- Rosario Jurado
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedOrnela Luisana Mondati-$69.82
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedRosario Jurado+$0.95
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOrnela Luisana Mondati-$6.29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$0.24
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$85.98
- AMaximus22Last tradedDown+$1.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATenebrus7Last tradedYes+$41
- AthoodrLast tradedYes+$0.09
- Bjesuslovesy0uLast tradedYes+$31.79
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$140.57
- AmrworldwideLast tradedYes-$40.43
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$23.56
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$46.09
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.08
- Bgod83743894Last tradedYes-$25.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$66.74
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$117.91
- BpnyyLast tradedDown-$26.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$17.27
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$51.31
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$2.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BflokeatLast tradedDown+$69.88
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$1.61
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedDown+$0.70
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$0.12
- AmerodLast tradedYes+$30.44
- Brocky42010Last tradedYes+$26.56
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes+$41.23
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$1.14
- BUpmettertouLast tradedNo-$111.84
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPlatykurticLast tradedYes+$4.83
- AbadatthisLast tradedNo-$42.76
- Bjesuslovesy0uLast tradedYes+$102.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sesports095Last tradedNo+$60.78
- AnoreasapaLast tradedNo+$40.25
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$27.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedNo+$73.78
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedYes-$41.41
- BKatty3105Last tradedNo+$27.09
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$0.28
- BUpbeat-PoliticianLast tradedNo+$48.99
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$3.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BthebiggrayLast tradedUp-$65.59
- BDescriptive-EicosanoidLast tradedDown+$7.69
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$3
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$7.13
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$59.70
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$19.06
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$33.54
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedNo+$19.71
- BghorrockLast tradedYes-$5.48
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedOver+$13.63
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$7.78
- AmaxiplayerLast tradedOver+$75.73
- Called
- Ibraheem Sulaimaan
- Won
- Ibraheem Sulaimaan
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AUser7429Last tradedIbraheem Sulaimaan+$6.15
- BDecent-CorporalLast tradedSonny Hardy-$39.87
- BpenguinecLast tradedSonny Hardy-$12.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$51.62
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$6.27
- BghorrockLast tradedYes-$1.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$46.83
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$6.37
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$2.02
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$55.96
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$5.67
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedUp+$3.06
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$21.98
- AmrworldwideLast tradedNo+$15.83
- BRed781RuMLast tradedYes-$53.46
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATunSahurLast tradedYes+$84.81
- BAlexD87Last tradedNo-$181.77
- Bwtrader2580Last tradedYes+$50.20
- Called
- EAC Extra
- Won
- EAC Extra
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedEAC Extra+$36.24
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedEAC Extra+$5.83
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedTheChampionGG-$5.65
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$35.14
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown-$1.30
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$1.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$42.27
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$11.45
- BPiercing-Strip-RustLast tradedUp+$21.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$24.85
- ALesterDiamondLast tradedNo+$7.71
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$18.81
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$19.28
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes-$75.60
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$92.81
- Bwtrader2580Last tradedNo+$17.11
- Called
- Celia Cervino Ruiz
- Won
- Celia Cervino Ruiz
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedCelia Cervino Ruiz+$75.19
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCelia Cervino Ruiz+$59.61
- AghostorderLast tradedCarmen Lopez Martinez-$120.91
Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes-$61.99
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$30.78
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$16.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$30.19
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$18.39
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.52
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$28.02
- AMaximus22Last tradedDown-$51.99
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$51.75
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$19.36
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$16.39
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$2.83
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$55.63
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$100.75
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown-$118.05
- Called
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Won
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$14.10
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$13.06
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedMASONIC-$5.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$4.81
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$37.13
- Bomnibus-6c8b15Last tradedDown-$12.75
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$30.31
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedDown+$3.14
- BErickaguilarLast tradedDown+$0.94
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$29.60
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$130.93
- Bomnibus-6c8b15Last tradedUp-$102.41
- Called
- Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Won
- Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJoao Lucas Da Silva+$115.77
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBernardo Munk-$99.85
- BBillBenter2026Last tradedJoao Lucas Da Silva+$5.90
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$80.14
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.52
- BJontheoneLast tradedUp-$74.25
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$6.04
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$92.22
- BmihaXdLast tradedUp-$108.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$86.18
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$50.80
- BPiercing-Strip-RustLast tradedUp+$12.87
25,893 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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