Resolution reportSunday, October 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
80%
1,307 right325 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 37,177
- No consensus
- 35,545
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 29,672 provider closure; 7,505 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Won
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDenis Shapovalov-$3,263.72
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCarlos Alcaraz+$2,580.56
- SHVABLast tradedCarlos Alcaraz+$2,038.12
- Called
- Kalin Ivanovski
- Won
- Kalin Ivanovski
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedKalin Ivanovski+$30,209.64
- SRN1Last tradedKalin Ivanovski+$5,006.67
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKalin Ivanovski+$1,973.90
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
Wrong- Called
- Commanders
- Won
- Colts
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCommanders-$13,453.34
- SprimmLast tradedCommanders-$4,652.40
- SRN1Last tradedCommanders-$2,880.76
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$10,223.98
- SprimmLast tradedOver+$8,795.72
- SgaclfzLast tradedOver+$4,078.19
- Called
- Hurricanes
- Won
- Hurricanes
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedFlyers-$5,547.37
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFlyers-$2,246.52
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedFlyers-$1,702.19
- Called
- Nebraska
- Won
- Nebraska
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMaryland-$7,643.13
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNebraska+$7,058.59
- SbetdgeLast tradedMaryland-$3,820.93
- Called
- Butterfly
- Won
- Butterfly
- Profitable wallets
- 26
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedButterfly+$1,243.02
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedmegoshort-$289.49
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedButterfly+$184.73
- Called
- Cowboys
- Won
- Cowboys
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedCowboys+$51,372.06
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCowboys+$8,735.18
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedCowboys+$4,146.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 40%
- Called
- Lloyd Harris
- Won
- Lloyd Harris
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMattia Bellucci-$8,352.95
- SRN1Last tradedMattia Bellucci-$5,738
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedLloyd Harris+$1,281.84
- Called
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
- Won
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDiana Shnaider-$20,433.68
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedEkaterina Alexandrova+$13,682.57
- SRN1Last tradedEkaterina Alexandrova+$13,289.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspendingmoneyLast tradedNo+$3,130.80
- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedYes-$228.73
- SgaclfzLast tradedNo+$216.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 30%
- Called
- G2
- Won
- G2
- Profitable wallets
- 25
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast traded1WIN-$1,123.78
- SantecLast traded1WIN-$310.96
- Sblack-rabbitLast traded1WIN-$300
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
Right- Called
- Colts
- Won
- Colts
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCommanders-$7,930.18
- SprimmLast tradedColts+$5,301.87
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedCommanders-$3,137.26
BYU vs. TCU
Right- Called
- BYU
- Won
- BYU
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedBYU+$18,313.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTCU-$5,845.84
- SRN1Last tradedBYU+$3,118.05
- Called
- Henrique Rocha
- Won
- Henrique Rocha
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedInaki Montes-$18,051.68
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedInaki Montes-$507.70
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedHenrique Rocha+$444.66
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTampa Bay Rays+$5,986.83
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNew York Yankees-$3,903.87
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedTampa Bay Rays+$1,059.49
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedOver+$8,846.92
- SbetdgeLast tradedOver+$6,278.95
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$2,623.71
- Called
- Daniil Medvedev
- Won
- Daniil Medvedev
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDaniil Medvedev+$6,610.47
- SRN1Last tradedDaniil Medvedev+$2,729.01
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedFrancisco Cerundolo-$1,370.46
- Called
- LOUD
- Won
- LOUD
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedLOUD+$946.71
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedLOUD+$802.68
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedLOUD+$433.22
- Called
- KT Rolster
- Won
- KT Rolster
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedKT Rolster+$986.36
- SgeiyecapixieLast tradedKT Rolster+$188.55
- SMalfunction.Last tradedKT Rolster+$74.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$216.17
- SDo-Not-RedeemLast tradedYes-$151.58
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$85.45
- Called
- Luminosity
- Won
- Astralis
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 8%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- Alava-lavaLast tradedNo-$254.77
- ADataCenterHatterLast tradedYes+$113.82
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$83
- Called
- Texas Tech
- Won
- Texas Tech
- Profitable wallets
- 24
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedColorado-$17,534.77
- SbetdgeLast tradedTexas Tech+$8,000
- SNooseracLast tradedTexas Tech+$6,819.01
- Called
- Fresno State
- Won
- Fresno State
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFresno State+$17,961.89
- SNooseracLast tradedFresno State+$7,286.87
- SRN1Last tradedWashington State-$1,641.66
- Called
- Naomi Osaka
- Won
- Naomi Osaka
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNaomi Osaka+$7,622.96
- SRN1Last tradedNaomi Osaka+$7,162.91
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNaomi Osaka+$4,008.48
- Called
- LOUD
- Won
- LOUD
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedGlobal Esports-$931.19
- SxytestLast tradedGlobal Esports-$753.96
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedGlobal Esports-$648.19
- Called
- T1
- Won
- T1
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedFUT Esports-$2,812.07
- SxytestLast tradedFUT Esports-$1,042.29
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedT1+$767.38
- Called
- Sabres
- Won
- Sabres
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedSabres+$716
- Storta.techLast tradedSabres+$593.20
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBlackhawks-$70.65
- Called
- Nemiga
- Won
- Nemiga
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 62%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNo-$751.90
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedYes+$149.89
- ATobias1909Last tradedYes+$819.33
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$11,222.15
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$3,827.59
- SprimmLast tradedOver-$3,777.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$120.26
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$103.98
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$86.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$3,148.18
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$275.65
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$192.21
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedYes+$2,650
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$1,813.11
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$826.01
- Called
- Hernan Casanova
- Won
- Hernan Casanova
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedHernan Casanova+$4,089.70
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHernan Casanova+$3,293.66
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedWilson Leite-$2,464.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,185.53
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$575.19
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$537.17
- Called
- Packers
- Won
- Packers
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedPackers+$6,114.62
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPackers+$3,662.38
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedPackers+$654.82
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$10,966.36
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$4,125.36
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$3,396.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$5,315.69
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$2,186.80
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$666.92
- Called
- Movistar KOI Fénix
- Won
- Movistar KOI Fénix
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedMovistar KOI Fénix+$3,670.36
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedUCAM Esports Club-$489.77
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedMovistar KOI Fénix+$168.90
Devils vs. Islanders
Right- Called
- Islanders
- Won
- Islanders
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedIslanders+$977.93
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedIslanders+$225.45
- Sdrop1234Last tradedIslanders+$208.62
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 22
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNew York Liberty-$3,215.40
- SNooseracLast tradedAtlanta Dream+$2,759.55
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Liberty-$2,332.75
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder+$100,648.96
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$15,472.35
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$3,022.04
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 95%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedNatus Vincere+$20,835.81
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedNatus Vincere+$6,749.89
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNatus Vincere+$4,095.31
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$3,027.32
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$2,710.17
- SGC-PLast tradedYes+$2,688.50
- Called
- Luminosity
- Won
- Luminosity
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 35%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 21
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$2,178.88
- SNM-PLast tradedUnder+$1,698.97
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$1,583.29
35,492 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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