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Resolution reportSunday, October 4, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
86%
1,479 right233 wrong

All wallets: 93% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
41,947
No consensus
40,235

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 34,440 provider closure; 7,507 first observed.

Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Bengals (-4.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Jaguars
    Won
    Jaguars
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Tech vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami (FL) (-11.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Miami (FL)
    Won
    Miami (FL)
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Giants (-6.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Giants
    Won
    Giants
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Giants+$408.92
    • B
      degenmLast traded
      Giants+$2,669.49
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Giants+$87.36

  • Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 52.5

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Over+$3,500.09
    • S
      betdgeLast traded
      Under-$420
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Under-$34.17

  • 1H Spread: Rams (-2.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Eagles
    Won
    Eagles
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas State (-6.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    San Diego State
    Won
    San Diego State
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Diego State+$2,362.92
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      San Diego State+$304.26
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Texas State-$117.26

  • Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Titans
    Won
    Titans
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Titans+$1,950.59
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Titans+$258.03
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Titans+$4.18

  • Arkansas vs. Texas A&M: O/U 55.5

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Central Norte Salta vs. CA Racing de Cordoba: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$928.20
    • S
      ColdMathLast traded
      Over+$90.99
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Over+$953.25

  • Spread: Ravens (-21.5)

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Ravens
    Won
    Titans
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      LesterDiamondLast traded
      Ravens-$2,055.22
    • B
      degenmLast traded
      Titans+$206.69
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      Ravens-$12.32

  • Phoenix Hagen vs. Fraport Skyliners

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Fraport Skyliners
    Won
    Fraport Skyliners
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona State (-2.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Baylor
    Won
    Baylor
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Baylor+$1,575.27
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Baylor+$113
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Baylor+$71.82

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      am100Last traded
      Under-$488.51
    • B
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Under-$1,067.92
    • B
      GOHARDNIGALast traded
      Under-$173.58

  • Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Hockey

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$1,584.95
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$117.76
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Under+$21.88

  • Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$1,635.49
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Under+$14.36
    • B
      DCAAALast traded
      Under+$43.86

  • Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Miami FC win on 2026-10-03?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      No-$1,600
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Yes+$6.36
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Yes+$0.84

  • Spread: South Alabama (-15.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    South Alabama
    Won
    South Alabama
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      South Alabama+$1,342.28
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      South Alabama+$72.05
    • B
      ghorrockLast traded
      South Alabama+$120.79

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 4?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Packers (-13.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Buccaneers
    Won
    Buccaneers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Buccaneers+$948.78
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Buccaneers+$480.69
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      Buccaneers-$40.32

  • O/U 1.5 Rounds

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      roscoffLast traded
      Under+$1,035.89
    • B
      ikcLast traded
      Under+$234.02
    • B
      matt308Last traded
      Under+$113.74

  • Jaguars vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 51.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,009.80
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over+$307.20
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$43.20

  • Spread: Arizona (-13.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Arizona
    Won
    Arizona
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arizona+$4,112.40
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cincinnati-$2,787.35
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Arizona+$29.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Miami (FL)
    Won
    Miami (FL)
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-04?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,666.82
    • A
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Under+$218.90
    • B
      b118801Last traded
      Under+$165.26

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Jose State (-1.5)

    Wrong

    NCAAF

    Called
    Hawai'i
    Won
    San Jose State
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Hawai'i-$1,225.16
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      San Jose State+$8.59
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      San Jose State+$1.35

  • Spread: USC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    NCAAF

    Called
    Washington
    Won
    USC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      primmLast traded
      Washington-$1,085.75
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington-$146.02
    • B
      Pan9XLast traded
      USC+$64.65

  • 1H Spread: Colts (-2.5)

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Commanders
    Won
    Colts
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: South Carolina (-16.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Kentucky
    Won
    Kentucky
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Won
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      South East Melbourne Phoenix+$1,064.62
    • B
      0x87f7…8f45Last traded
      South East Melbourne Phoenix+$47.98
    • B
      NotJumpLast traded
      South East Melbourne Phoenix+$10

  • Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. London City Lionesses: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,010.77
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Over+$93.80
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$9.99

  • Spread: Utah (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Hockey

    Called
    Blue Jackets
    Won
    Utah
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Blue Jackets-$697.92
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Blue Jackets-$360.96
    • A
      BoomLaLaLast traded
      Blue Jackets-$54.06

  • 1H Spread: Colts (-3.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Colts
    Won
    Colts
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Georgia Southern (-1.5)

    Wrong

    NCAAF

    Called
    Coastal Carolina
    Won
    Georgia Southern
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Fresno State
    Won
    Fresno State
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jets vs. Bears: O/U 48.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$648.75
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Under+$382.90
    • A
      -JB-Last traded
      Under+$22.10

  • Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Cowboys
    Won
    Cowboys
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

40,175 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,780 more positions across 1,336 markets on this day.

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