Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 93% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 41,947
- No consensus
- 40,235
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 34,440 provider closure; 7,507 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$137.61
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$90.01
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Spread: Eastern Kentucky (-14.5)
No consensus- Won
- North Alabama
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Slukibazdonauki754Last tradedEastern Kentucky-$325.89
- Aforecastication4Last tradedNorth Alabama+$181.93
- BGl4dLast tradedNorth Alabama+$61.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$1.33
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp+$68.82
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$4.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$36.04
- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$25.93
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$10.90
- Called
- San Diego State
- Won
- San Diego State
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSan Diego State+$96.32
- ATimeTravelerLast tradedSan Diego State+$138.99
- BPan9XLast tradedTexas State-$108.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AwillsomLast tradedYes-$92.33
- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$11.34
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.82
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$69.44
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$155.03
- BmihaXdLast tradedUp-$22.77
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$22.30
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$68
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$35.26
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$92.38
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$93.31
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$30.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$1.21
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$189.84
- BmihaXdLast tradedUp+$108.31
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwhigLast tradedOver+$279.20
- AsmellyEllieLast tradedOver-$305.67
- ALesterDiamondLast tradedOver-$55
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$7,212.22
- SbetdgeLast tradedOver-$7,120.96
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$51.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$0.74
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$42.50
- BOutOfMemoryLast tradedNo+$21.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$54
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$14.99
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$2.50
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARobbbLast tradedYes+$5.08
- BChuDebbieSharpLast tradedYes+$37.88
- B0xbada…d874Last tradedYes+$16.45
- Called
- Texas State
- Won
- San Diego State
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedTexas State-$11.56
- BOddstormLast tradedTexas State-$84.45
- BPan9XLast tradedSan Diego State+$35.24
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$48.02
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$47
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOver-$159.71
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$93.03
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder+$0.58
- Aforecastication4Last tradedUnder+$26.04
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$14.17
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder+$9.83
- Apauleta23Last tradedUnder+$18.81
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$21.60
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$8.45
- Babcdefg888Last tradedUnder+$29.48
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$41.86
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$16.61
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$0.59
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$55.09
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$1.42
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.02
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABeefSlayerLast tradedYes-$69.99
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$0.18
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$8.98
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$2.94
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$163.23
- ALuckyLooLast tradedYes+$66.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ATenebrus7Last tradedNo-$145.99
- AbadatthisLast tradedNo-$106.93
- APlatykurticLast tradedYes+$15.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Wrong- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$95.45
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$80.05
- SantecLast tradedUnder-$5.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$60.06
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$13.41
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$1.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$52.61
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedOver+$103.78
- Bjohannsi19Last tradedUnder-$210
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$46.53
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes+$7.81
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes-$3.14
- Called
- Miami (FL)
- Won
- Miami (FL)
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedMiami (FL)-$64.80
- SMalfunction.Last tradedMiami (FL)+$14.19
- A-JB-Last tradedMiami (FL)+$100
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$58.83
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$115.35
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$17.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$58.43
- AEn111006Last tradedUp+$61.11
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$35.20
- Called
- Giants
- Won
- Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCardinals-$1,178.64
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedGiants+$701.68
- SbetdgeLast tradedGiants+$518.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$31.92
- A0xzipperLast tradedNo+$2.80
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$2.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$10.66
- AtimebrotimeLast tradedDown+$13.13
- BYouSayUpISayDownLast tradedDown+$9.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$23.38
- BfastestclickLast tradedNo+$13.49
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$4.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$60.68
- ALuckyLooLast tradedNo+$68.03
- A0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27ALast tradedNo+$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$26.73
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$30.95
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp+$36.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$11.02
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$7.58
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$7.27
- Called
- Kentucky
- Won
- Kentucky
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSouth Carolina-$564.49
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedKentucky+$349.68
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKentucky+$262.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$7.68
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$8.63
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$20.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$15.66
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$28.41
- Bsailor82Last tradedNo+$15.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$39.10
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$8.25
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$75.12
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$51.99
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown-$6.89
40,175 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,780 more positions across 1,336 markets on this day.