Resolution reportSunday, October 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
80%
1,387 right348 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 41,308
- No consensus
- 39,573
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 33,801 provider closure; 7,507 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$58.06
- AEn111006Last tradedUp+$51.15
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$40.44
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$579.30
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$178.34
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnder+$7.79
- Called
- LYON
- Won
- LYON
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLYON+$102.16
- SDonkooLast tradedLYON+$28.50
- SantecLast tradedLYON+$18.32
- Called
- Blues
- Won
- Avalanche
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedBlues-$489.18
- SwapolLast tradedBlues-$122.88
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedAvalanche+$62.84
- Called
- Oliver Tarvet
- Won
- Oliver Tarvet
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedOliver Tarvet+$309.12
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedOliver Tarvet+$75.49
- A0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2Last tradedOliver Tarvet+$171.70
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$469.57
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$56.93
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$1.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder+$4,370.56
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$4,119.17
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$3,196.27
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$441.97
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$28.92
- SantecLast tradedOver+$2.88
- Called
- Martin Borisiouk
- Won
- Martin Borisiouk
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJumpei Yamasaki-$796.58
- SRN1Last tradedMartin Borisiouk+$323.40
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJumpei Yamasaki-$61.85
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 54%
- Called
- South Alabama
- Won
- South Alabama
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedLouisiana-Monroe-$2,918.39
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSouth Alabama+$2,495.82
- SantecLast tradedLouisiana-Monroe-$2
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$419.03
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$277.13
- Storta.techLast tradedUnder+$265.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$491.20
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes-$60.43
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes-$47.29
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$6.12
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$3.68
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$3.15
- Called
- Galorys
- Won
- Galorys
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedGalorys+$774.85
- Alma0o0o0oLast tradedProcyon Gaming-$1,240.03
- AWiretransferxyzLast tradedProcyon Gaming-$197.78
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJep-GLast tradedNo+$83.77
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$30
- APorxLast tradedNo+$26.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$190.79
- ASyrrokLast tradedUnder+$99.85
- ASmallcoinsLast tradedUnder+$37.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$1,284.79
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$614.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$546.08
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$232.78
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$54.80
- AmaxiplayerLast tradedUnder+$19.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$306.84
- SantecLast tradedYes-$0.99
- ALSB1Last tradedYes-$572.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 39%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$31.58
- SantecLast tradedNo+$18.82
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$200
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
- Called
- KK Crvena Zvezda
- Won
- FMP
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedKK Crvena Zvezda-$175.78
- ALuckyLooLast tradedKK Crvena Zvezda-$133.45
- AElated-LentilLast tradedFMP+$1.61
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- APorxLast tradedNo+$8.07
- BMrMelonHeadLast tradedNo+$206.90
- BautisemLast tradedNo+$120.18
- Called
- Texas A&M
- Won
- Texas A&M
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMalfunction.Last tradedTexas A&M+$30.09
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTexas A&M+$4.24
- A0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2Last tradedTexas A&M+$56.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,358.94
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$812.10
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$701.61
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$20.14
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$18.41
- APorxLast tradedNo+$13.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AChimsLast tradedNo+$152.35
- APorxLast tradedNo+$18
- Anonkenny90Last tradedNo+$11.64
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$14.41
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$15.98
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$1.11
Spread: USC (-6.5)
Right- Called
- Washington
- Won
- Washington
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedWashington+$354.79
- SantecLast tradedWashington+$78.88
- BHarrisgivesgoodBJLast tradedUSC-$213.35
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$45.75
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$46.86
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$26
- Called
- Galions
- Won
- Galions
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGalions+$19.68
- AEl-Toque-De-MidasLast tradedGalions+$19.77
- ABookWarriorLast tradedGalions+$5.77
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$70.96
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp+$56.60
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$1.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$66.44
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$57.66
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$6.44
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$14.04
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedDown+$30
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$32.82
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$28.28
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.03
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$148
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$47.67
- SantecLast tradedOver-$36.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$4.54
- AHourglassLast tradedYes-$30.12
- Akorda77Last tradedNo+$5.11
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$233.57
- Agt197Last tradedNo-$100.49
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo-$36.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$27.16
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$3.84
- BfastestclickLast tradedNo+$33.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$2.18
- Bbet2earnLast tradedYes-$208.34
- BAlbaneHLast tradedNo+$74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$0.56
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$33.13
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$71.14
- Called
- Nice Try
- Won
- Nice Try
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDonkooLast tradedNice Try+$34.94
- AAbsingLast tradedNice Try+$116.41
- ABookWarriorLast tradedNice Try+$7.17
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ADEGENKHANLast tradedNo+$62.36
- BTheMasterMindLast tradedYes-$82
- BClearMoveLast tradedYes-$69.23
- Called
- Jets
- Won
- Jets
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedBears-$2,832.05
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJets+$2,742.78
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedJets+$256.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedOver-$5,828.99
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$5,532.11
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$5,287.93
- Called
- Georgii Kravchenko
- Won
- Georgii Kravchenko
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedGeorgii Kravchenko+$70.99
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedSergi Fita Juan-$38.44
- SantecLast tradedGeorgii Kravchenko+$7.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARevengeRangeLast tradedUnder+$59.38
- AyishiwuchengLast tradedOver-$21.32
- Amadoka123Last tradedUnder+$2.43
39,518 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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