Resolution reportThursday, October 1, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
82%
1,162 right260 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,479
- No consensus
- 20,057
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 19,026 provider closure; 2,453 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,483.76
- SGC-PLast tradedOver-$874
- SNM-PLast tradedOver-$734.90
- Called
- PRIVATE
- Won
- K27
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedPRIVATE-$4,033.19
- SRN1Last tradedK27+$954.25
- SDonkooLast tradedPRIVATE-$180.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 62%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCarLast tradedNo+$45.72
- SParz1vaILast tradedNo+$34.94
- AInterestingUserLast tradedYes-$328.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 79%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$80.34
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$20.83
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$114.02
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 56%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$9.90
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedYes-$99.93
- AgydmasgLast tradedNo+$74.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 52%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes-$6,145.71
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$3,797.11
- STokorLast tradedYes-$893.32
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$3,674.17
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$2,822.40
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$1,410.22
- Won
- Nuclear TigeRES
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Serbia
- Won
- Serbia
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSerbia+$1,199.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSerbia+$763.05
- SColdMathLast tradedSerbia+$288.37
- Called
- K27
- Won
- K27
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 31%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- Paris Basketball
- Won
- Paris Basketball
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedParis Basketball+$2,768.50
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedZalgiris Kaunas-$2,084.90
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedZalgiris Kaunas-$1,126.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes+$103.05
- AFair-TanLast tradedYes+$630.60
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo-$29.39
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWashington Mystics-$428.16
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWashington Mystics-$426.32
- SRN1Last tradedAtlanta Dream+$109.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNo+$85.64
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$42.58
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$20.51
- Called
- Salma Djoubri
- Won
- Salma Djoubri
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAmandine Monnot-$3,258.67
- SHVABLast tradedSalma Djoubri+$1,603.57
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedAmandine Monnot-$181.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$623.75
- SNo+$162
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$146.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$460.41
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$264.86
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes-$194.71
- Called
- Young TigeRES
- Won
- Fire Flux Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedYoung TigeRES-$728.96
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYoung TigeRES-$128.17
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedYoung TigeRES-$61.49
- Called
- LOS
- Won
- LOS
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas-$111.91
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedLOS+$67.76
- Aarm1337Last tradedLOS+$118.03
- Called
- Team Kinetix
- Won
- Team Kinetix
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBettingPartners4Last tradedTeam Kinetix+$236.52
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTeam Kinetix+$24.85
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedTeam Kinetix+$107.17
- Called
- Krytiepacani
- Won
- UPGRADE
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 52%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$11.25
- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedNo+$280.57
- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedNo+$35.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNo+$243.25
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$112.49
- SantecLast tradedNo+$58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$248.20
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$66
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$13.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$98.37
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$19.25
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$12.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- APorxLast tradedNo+$35.60
- BDiligent-ScenarioLast tradedNo+$147.22
- BseladorLast tradedNo+$35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sqmarktea2Last tradedNo+$75.90
- ALiquidifierLast tradedNo+$118.92
- BSergeySLast tradedNo+$65.17
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$113.60
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$19.82
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$105.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$218.55
- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedNo+$183.13
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$179.69
- Called
- MASONIC
- Won
- Lavked
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedLavked+$366.29
- SantecLast tradedMASONIC-$241.57
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLavked+$15.86
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 47%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$33.20
- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedNo+$15
- AcontrolsLast tradedNo+$10.50
- Called
- Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
- Won
- Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedColossal Gaming-$39.55
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedColossal Gaming-$5.03
- SantecLast tradedUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$0.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SboyauLast tradedYes-$73.67
- SC03BLast tradedNo+$3.51
- ASeutervoinenLast tradedNo+$48.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBreakTheBankLast tradedYes+$59,705.13
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$1,068.01
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$116.71
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedDown-$4,884.25
- SeasyclapLast tradedUp+$55.07
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$15.94
- Called
- Dallas Wings
- Won
- Dallas Wings
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDallas Wings+$8,915.33
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDallas Wings+$4,428.66
- SantecLast tradedDallas Wings+$0.50
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago Cubs-$15,499.81
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSan Diego Padres+$7,880.78
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago Cubs-$922.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Slukibazdonauki754Last tradedNo+$390.60
- SRock.SanLast tradedNo+$1.10
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$3,069.99
- Called
- Alliance
- Won
- Alliance
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAlliance+$2,190.55
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedAstralis-$1,242.09
- SDonkooLast tradedAlliance+$48.30
- Called
- Boston Red Sox
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Yankees+$8,347.23
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$4,725.39
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$1,417.39
- Called
- Gonzalo Villanueva
- Won
- Gonzalo Villanueva
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHVABLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$497.48
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$464.89
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva+$238.60
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgollazaLast tradedYes+$22.81
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedYes+$8.66
- AVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedYes+$2,407.27
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$1,926.70
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$500.81
- SGordinho55Last tradedOver+$39.87
20,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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