Resolution reportThursday, October 1, 2026Live settlements
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
81%
667 right152 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
- Markets resolved
- 13,490
- No consensus
- 12,671
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,018 provider closure; 1,472 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNo+$619.32
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$601.56
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedYes-$16.76
- Called
- ABT Esports
- Won
- ABT Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedABT Esports+$158.92
- SDonkooLast tradedABT Esports+$83.96
- ABookWarriorLast tradedABT Esports+$186.31
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes-$255.43
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$235.80
- STokorLast tradedYes-$181.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$41.21
- AleCommissaireLast tradedNo+$229.64
- APorxLast tradedYes-$200.28
- Called
- Kimberly Birrell
- Won
- Kimberly Birrell
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAoi Ito-$338.49
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedKimberly Birrell+$84.28
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedKimberly Birrell+$47.60
- Called
- Dane Sweeny
- Won
- Dane Sweeny
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDane Sweeny+$394.63
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDane Sweeny+$380.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPetr Bar Biryukov-$379.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SM888Last tradedNo+$193.15
- AChimsLast tradedNo+$127.11
- AWarriorPoohLast tradedNo+$103.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMustafalafelLast tradedYes+$195
- AContentious-DinnerdateLast tradedYes+$83.04
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$45.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes-$2,114.75
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$1,203.74
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$677.31
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$6,109.79
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$832.26
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$725.46
- Called
- Lois Boisson
- Won
- Lois Boisson
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLois Boisson+$6,206.14
- SRN1Last tradedLois Boisson+$3,032.01
- StradecraftLast tradedLois Boisson+$945.42
- Called
- Inaki Montes
- Won
- Inaki Montes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedInaki Montes+$11,631.10
- SRN1Last tradedInaki Montes+$6,369.36
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedJacob Fearnley-$1,352.51
- Called
- Kyrian Jacquet
- Won
- Kyrian Jacquet
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKyrian Jacquet+$826.41
- SRN1Last tradedKyrian Jacquet+$746.65
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKyrian Jacquet+$555.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNo+$1,503.99
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$772.95
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$118.68
- Called
- MAGAZA
- Won
- MAGAZA
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedMAGAZA+$307.53
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedThe Otter Side-$284.94
- SantecLast tradedMAGAZA+$182.74
- Called
- Sofya Lansere
- Won
- Sofya Lansere
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSofya Lansere+$788.04
- STRCMLast tradedSofya Lansere+$539.88
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedSofia Costoulas-$458.82
- Called
- India
- Won
- India
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedSri Lanka-$3,280.42
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedIndia+$186.94
- SmishipolisLast tradedIndia+$117.46
- Called
- Noir Verse
- Won
- Noir Verse
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNoir Verse+$329.68
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNoir Verse+$229.08
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedButterfly-$124.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$46.69
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedNo+$29.66
- SantecLast tradedYes-$6.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes-$1,560.06
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$173.34
- STokorLast tradedYes-$41.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 56%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Won
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYuhan Wang-$1,342.47
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedJessica Bouzas Maneiro+$676.33
- SyesmateLast tradedYuhan Wang-$262.18
- Called
- Frites Esports Club
- Won
- Frites Esports Club
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedBushido Wildcats-$396.18
- SFuture-Tarot-TraderLast tradedFrites Esports Club+$292.83
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFrites Esports Club+$137.43
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo+$16.77
- ATenebrus7Last tradedNo+$38.75
- AscoutLast tradedNo+$34.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$212.04
- SYes-$200.99
- S4751346Last tradedNo+$50.06
- Called
- Lin Zhu
- Won
- Lin Zhu
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLin Zhu+$23,691
- SRN1Last tradedLin Zhu+$8,085.72
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedLin Zhu+$2,140.26
- Called
- ABT Esports
- Won
- ABT Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 84%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ssportmaster777Last tradedABT Esports+$445.49
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedABT Esports+$366.22
- SantecLast tradedABT Esports+$134.05
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$3,674.17
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$2,822.40
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$1,410.22
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedOver+$1,099.14
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver+$48.07
- SGordinho55Last tradedUnder-$0.47
- Called
- Atlanta Dream
- Won
- Atlanta Dream
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWashington Mystics-$428.16
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWashington Mystics-$426.32
- SRN1Last tradedAtlanta Dream+$109.37
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,500.03
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$7.16
- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$265.70
- Called
- Team Kinetix
- Won
- Team Kinetix
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBettingPartners4Last tradedTeam Kinetix+$236.52
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedTeam Kinetix+$24.85
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedTeam Kinetix+$107.17
- Called
- Luminosity
- Won
- Luminosity
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 46%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOptimus-Last tradedYes-$240
- AInterestingUserLast tradedYes-$204.21
- A3648393489047Last tradedNo+$85.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 42%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$80.34
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$20.83
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$107.27
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 79%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- AInterestingUserLast tradedNo+$146.63
- ADragontreeLast tradedYes-$132.48
- Anonkenny90Last tradedNo+$65.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$33.20
- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedNo+$15
- AcontrolsLast tradedNo+$10.50
- Called
- Krytiepacani
- Won
- UPGRADE
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedKrytiepacani-$2,730.72
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedKrytiepacani-$95.79
- SantecLast tradedKrytiepacani-$50.22
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago Cubs-$15,499.81
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSan Diego Padres+$7,880.78
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago Cubs-$922.73
- Called
- Boston Red Sox
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Yankees+$8,347.23
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBoston Red Sox-$4,725.39
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedBoston Red Sox-$1,417.39
- Called
- Hugo Grenier
- Won
- Hugo Grenier
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHugo Grenier+$1,872.39
- SRN1Last tradedHugo Grenier+$1,114.56
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedHugo Grenier+$114.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scoinman2Last tradedNo+$810.82
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedNo+$627.89
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$591.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scoinman2Last tradedNo+$1,432.56
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$503.05
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$1,036.81
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes-$6,145.71
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$3,797.11
- STokorLast tradedYes-$893.32
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$425.74
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$747.63
- AgobblewobbleLast tradedYes+$626.49
Porto 2: Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echargui
No consensus- Won
- Edas Butvilas
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMoez Echargui-$1,218.22
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedMoez Echargui-$97.81
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMoez Echargui-$48.71
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$623.75
- SNo+$162
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$146.73
12,635 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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