Resolution reportThursday, October 1, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 55m ago

82%

1,276 right284 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 22,007
No consensus: 20,447

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 19,550 provider closure; 2,457 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on September 30?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 06:22:11 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.47
- B
  daegothLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.99
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 22:22:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.41
- B
  Loulou89Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.39
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 22:00:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down-$24.19
- B
  JontheoneLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$33.80
- B
  dion-dublinLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$4.69
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
No consensus
Politics
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 06:04:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  theta-thunbergLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$81.99
- B
  turtle911Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$74.51
- B
  nelbal8486Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$2.59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 1?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 16:50:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$6.07
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.03
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 07:21:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$27.54
- A
  stcharlos3Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$2
- B
  dawangwang001Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$30.33
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 30?
Right
Crypto
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 04:12:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Impressive-SteakLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$369.91
- S
  justdanceLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$314.69
- B
  Krejza68Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$51.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 07:50:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$29.42
- B
  dawangwang001Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$21
- B
  Periodic-MarketplaceLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$4.70
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 1?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 16:25:59 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  BakuskyvsLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.94
- B
  daegothLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.41
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 1?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 23:11:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.72
- B
  slow-2pctLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.56
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Right
Politics
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 04:23:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  hochnaesigezickeLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$33.42
- B
  chocolate123Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$26.73
- B
  PPMTLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 20:46:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$3.28
- B
  dion-dublinLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$0.37
- B
  VortexBetLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.05
Maldives vs. Lebanon: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Over
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
78%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 18:13:04 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  ColdMathLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$97.50
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over+$0.59
- B
  solstice2025Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under-$100.98
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 1?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 23:09:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  HighTempTationLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.20
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 1?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 16:51:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$5.60
- B
  daegothLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.92
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.43
W15 Monastir: Lan Mi vs Ophelie Boullay
Right
Tennis
Called
Lan Mi
Won
Lan Mi
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 15:03:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  CandleHammerDrumsLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Lan Mi+$15
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Ophelie Boullay-$27.62
- B
  Pan9XLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Lan Mi+$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 1 Oct 2026, 16:50:29 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  HighTempTationLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.58
- B
  LittleBitBadBoyLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.32
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.12
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by September 30?
Right
Anduril
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 1 Oct 2026, 19:16:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  probabilityLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.40
- B
  wish-Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.88
- B
  Dr.mettLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.29

20,389 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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