Resolution reportThursday, October 1, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
82%
1,262 right280 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 21,989
- No consensus
- 20,447
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 19,532 provider closure; 2,457 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsmellyEllieLast tradedYes-$14.26
- BDr.mettLast tradedNo+$98.68
- BSpiffy-HoldLast tradedNo+$0.66
- Called
- Mio Mushika
- Won
- Mio Mushika
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMio Mushika+$3.40
- A0xc07Last tradedLaquisa Khan-$75.23
- BPan9XLast tradedLaquisa Khan-$12.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$221.70
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedNo+$219.12
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$86
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$44.42
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$86.69
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$48.66
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$99.72
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$19.17
- BtkrktkdsflkjsdfjLast tradedDown+$1
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$47.89
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedDown-$37.23
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$4.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Aurora
- Won
- Aurora
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedAurora+$32.54
- AgejbrLast tradedAurora+$44.86
- BbozepomogiLast tradedAurora+$0.90
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes-$77.49
- AcoinfilippeLast tradedYes-$2.97
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$2.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedNo+$6.03
- ADataCenterHatterLast tradedNo+$78.81
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$6.99
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$5.26
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$55.57
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$16.92
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$16.98
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedUp-$100.01
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown+$40.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsmellyEllieLast tradedNo+$24.09
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$1.80
- BbondbondbondLast tradedNo+$50.77
- Called
- Austria
- Won
- Austria
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedAustria+$14.95
- BHFT-PROLast tradedAustria+$40.36
- BStudyPredictionLast tradedAustria+$20.79
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$65.05
- BLearnSlowly111Last tradedUp-$6.90
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp-$3.73
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$76.06
- BscrpnLast tradedUnder+$1.24
- BFormal-HygienicLast tradedUnder+$0.31
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$23.71
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown-$102.82
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$4.70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ADataCenterHatterLast tradedNo+$31.84
- ATenebrus7Last tradedNo+$26.99
- Bgum123Last tradedNo+$14.18
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$13.92
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.51
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedUp+$58.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$58.25
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$11.80
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$2.80
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- Chicago Cubs
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSan Diego Padres-$120.73
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedChicago Cubs+$32.66
- BHFT-PROLast tradedChicago Cubs+$16.31
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$46.31
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$17.88
- BJontheoneLast tradedDown+$6.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAiBirdLast tradedNo+$70.22
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.36
- AprobabilityLast tradedNo+$0.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedNo+$23.87
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$20.71
- BgrinlorberLast tradedNo+$26.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AElated-LentilLast tradedUp+$0.09
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedUp+$65.61
- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$3.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$79.13
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$10.08
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$14.78
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$33.56
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$1.46
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$22.80
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$44.82
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$88.57
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown+$0.40
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$23.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$59.04
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$124.36
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.87
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$4.32
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$52.43
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$5.59
Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo-$10.26
- APlatykurticLast tradedYes+$2.21
- Bturtle911Last tradedYes+$70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdonothackmeeeLast tradedYes-$65
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$2.66
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$0.47
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$57.46
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.15
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedDown-$4.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedNo+$44.32
- AChimsLast tradedNo+$15.36
- AprobabilityLast tradedNo+$1.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AYoungAlphaGoatLast tradedYes-$61.03
- AprobabilityLast tradedNo+$0.75
- BDr.mettLast tradedNo+$0.56
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$46.82
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$7.02
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$5.77
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$1.33
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$61.16
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$3.80
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALuckyLooLast tradedOver-$60.70
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$4.65
- BHFT-PROLast tradedOver-$2.07
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$44.47
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$5.61
- BJontheoneLast tradedUp+$6.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$54.10
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$2.18
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo+$0.20
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$52.44
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$38.39
- BMicMac777Last tradedDown+$70.18
- Called
- Astros
- Won
- White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJustADonkLast tradedAstros-$2,605
- Afunplayer-Last tradedAstros-$409.99
- B0F62Last tradedWhite Sox+$2,959.51
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$13.64
- Ang6000Last tradedYes-$28.73
- Bmando88Last tradedNo+$70.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AStarted-with-20-USDLast tradedYes-$34.68
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$18.98
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$0.90
20,385 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 14,171 more positions across 1,256 markets on this day.
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