Resolution reportTuesday, September 29, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 16h ago

77%

985 right295 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 25,784
No consensus: 24,504

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 22,713 provider closure; 3,071 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 00:26:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.37
- S
  Rock.SanLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.63
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$12.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 12:12:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  goodfeedesignLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down-$18.35
- B
  boggycryptomanLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.94
- B
  OldstreetLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 22:25:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  HighTempTationLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$93.80
- B
  Exciting-Hat-VegetarianLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$82.38
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$2.24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 16:27:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  PoligarchLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$9.65
- B
  rocky42011Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$15.18
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$7.88
Exact Score: Wuxi Wugou 2 - 1 Ningbo Professional FC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 15:36:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$8.18
- S
  Rock.SanLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$4.50
- A
  MarquisDeMottLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 05:15:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  TunSahurLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$3.78
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.41
- B
  neo7777Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 22:35:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.83
- B
  fastestclickLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$5.74
- B
  dumdumdumdumLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$0.38
Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
Right
Esports
Called
Shifters
Won
Shifters
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 21:52:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  dabossrealmanLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Heretics-$42.63
- A
  zxcursed121Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Shifters+$6.82
- B
  467j6yjLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Shifters+$24.73
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 28?
Right
Finance
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 01:19:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pennedreadfulLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$77.18
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$66.54
- A
  CoinTrickLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Croatia?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 22:50:22 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$6.52
- A
  ng6000Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$2.37
- B
  oneofthepplLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 19:30:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$8.52
- A
  gansinimenLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$17.99
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 28?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 08:15:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  sailor82Last traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$7.83
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.17
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 01:00:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up-$57.78
- B
  gangwarharshitLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$39.67
- B
  OldstreetLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$8.36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 02:53:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  zxcursed121Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.11
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.30
- B
  0x2662228cDC5E641DLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$2.25
Will Gabon win on 2026-09-29?
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 23:52:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  antecLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No-$13.01
- S
  omnibus-076daaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.41
- B
  soylentgoyLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.97
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)
Right
Esports
Called
1win
Won
1win
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 16:51:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  igot50kLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  1win+$22.30
- A
  yishiwuchengLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Natus Vincere-$18.20
- B
  nascent1134513Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  1win+$5.48
W15 Monastir: Anja Casari vs nour sahnoun
Wrong
Tennis
Called
Anja Casari
Won
nour sahnoun
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 15:34:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  CandleHammerDrumsLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Anja Casari-$113.74
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  nour sahnoun+$119.46
- B
  HFT-PROLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  nour sahnoun+$3.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 23:10:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$8.27
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up+$3.05
- A
  gansinimenLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down-$3
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 28?
Wrong
Finance
Called
No
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 00:02:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  C03BLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$7.19
- A
  pennedreadfulLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$4.70
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$3.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 03:11:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.34
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down+$18.81
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up-$13.58
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 20:45:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.50
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.50
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 15:26:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$4.03
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.22
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.20
Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 28?
Right
Crypto
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 04:12:06 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Impressive-SteakLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$199.94
- S
  Sharky6999Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$197.24
- B
  jjjclv6Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$9.86
Set 2 Winner: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Right
Tennis
Called
Jaime Faria
Won
Jaime Faria
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 07:55:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Hard-IroncladLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Jaime Faria+$3.12
- A
  0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Jaime Faria+$2.61
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Jaime Faria+$1.34
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group B
Right
Esports
Called
Sangal
Won
Sangal
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 23:21:03 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  zxcursed121Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  HyperSpirit-$8.75
- A
  backboxLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Sangal+$1.21
- B
  kozelblackLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Sangal+$0.50
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs DARKWALL (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
Right
Esports
Called
Team Nemesis
Won
Team Nemesis
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 18:14:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  lma0o0o0oLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Team Nemesis+$19.96
- B
  king-cLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  DARKWALL-$64.66
- B
  shiifooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Team Nemesis+$51.32
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 20:03:00 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  RoomserviceLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$3.71
- B
  SunnydaysLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$2.70
- B
  0xf51b…ca1bLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.10
Finland vs. Belarus: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 20:00:34 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RN1Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$214.18
- S
  Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  Over-$99.62
- A
  KnightDasCapitalLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$320
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 16:29:47 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  TunSahurLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$2.83
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.09
- B
  Halfa-BetaLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 16:31:17 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.60
- B
  fastestclickLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.15
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.93
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 29?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 15:50:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  TunSahurLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$59.32
- B
  rocky42024Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$64.40
- B
  Happening9014Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.54
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?
Right
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 19:07:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  smellyEllieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.01
- A
  PlatykurticLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.53
- B
  0x61824002685454-836100846371Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 20:16:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$21.13
- A
  gansinimenLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$15.72
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.61
Will Claude Sonnet 5.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?
Right
AI
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 09:37:45 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  lamykLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$3.77
- B
  James-TalaricoLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.79
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.18
W15 Maanshan: Marianna Shikhanova vs Noelani Sara Teso
Right
Tennis
Called
Marianna Shikhanova
Won
Marianna Shikhanova
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 05:55:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Marianna Shikhanova+$48.30
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Noelani Sara Teso-$86.72
- B
  Disguised-Pickax-FetusLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Marianna Shikhanova+$33.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 14:30:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$59.18
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up+$36.80
- A
  gansinimenLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 23:30:56 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up-$3.26
- B
  dion-dublinLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$2.12
- B
  OldstreetLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 17:54:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.16
- B
  daegothLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.48
- B
  PPMTLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 02:40:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$3.39
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$28.43
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down-$21.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 23:15:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  VortexBetLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$4.52
- B
  dion-dublinLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.89
- B
  VortexTradingLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 23:51:26 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$14.56
- A
  gansinimenLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$24
- A
  En111006Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down-$5.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 11:20:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$25.19
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down-$90.15
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$68.42
Montevideo Wanderers vs. Albion FC: O/U 3.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Under
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 06:27:04 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  ColdMathLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$96.18
- B
  emacronLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$56.62
- B
  HFT-PROLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Over-$36.26
Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 22:57:21 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RN1Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$16.25
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$14.14
- B
  SecondhandvinylLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Under+$32.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 11:31:03 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$109.38
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$45.39
- B
  JontheoneLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$66.32
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 28?
Right
Finance
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 07:39:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pennedreadfulLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up-$15.31
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$4.55
- B
  hermesss123Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$9.60
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ENCE (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group B
Right
Esports
Called
ENCE
Won
ENCE
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 29 Sept 2026, 21:55:36 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  omnibus-076daaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  ENCE+$6.21
- A
  0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  HyperSpirit-$5.73
- B
  kozelblackLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  ENCE+$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 29 Sept 2026, 15:40:53 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down-$7.30
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$12.42
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down-$6

24,436 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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