Resolution reportTuesday, September 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 3h ago

70%

912 right385 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 22,268
No consensus: 20,971

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 21,246 provider closure; 1,022 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs
No consensus
Esports
Won
Orgless
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
First observed: 22 Sept 2026, 13:05:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Orgless+$126.95
- A
  dabossrealmanLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  MARKandLARRY-$81.18
- A
  BookWarriorLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  MARKandLARRY-$33.53
Daniel vs. Delaney: Match O/U 21.5
Wrong
Tennis
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 06:07:30 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  forecastication4Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Over-$50
- B
  wapol-ELast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Under+$168.75
- B
  DCAAALast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Over-$130
Will A Just Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 17:49:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.60
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.94
- A
  Admirable-TrustLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.69
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 18:20:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$14.91
- A
  shovelingdiggingLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$8
- B
  god83743894Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.17
Will Trump say "North Korea" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Right
Politics
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 19:22:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  PlatykurticLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$152.37
- A
  Tenebrus7Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$96.91
- A
  DerDonLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$66
Will CPRF win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 11:27:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  merodLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$10.38
- A
  MysariaLast traded 7 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.18
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 04:36:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$12.06
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$21.21
- A
  averagerandommanLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 21?
No consensus
Finance
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 00:01:49 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  pennedreadfulLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yes-$5.85
- B
  kodeoedLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$9.46
- B
  capibLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$6.15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 22?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 22:26:32 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Bland-DynamiteLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$21.60
- B
  cleaningLadyLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$22.63
- B
  terrordogchampionLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$8.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 23:00:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$6.77
- A
  4282439425493Last traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$12.63
- B
  EstiquelapiseLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$2.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Wrong
Esports
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 18:39:28 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RN1Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Over-$107.75
- B
  seeyouanymoreLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Under+$97.92
- B
  shineshineshineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Under+$1.16
Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 14:52:28 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$6.33
- A
  kinderSmanLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.17
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.20
Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores?
No consensus
Soccer
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 02:28:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.62
- B
  LukasburnerLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$7.18
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$1.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 01:16:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$2.14
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down+$87.53
- B
  dhju67uthfLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up-$77.70
Will SC Genemuiden win on 2026-09-22?
Right
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 22 Sept 2026, 22:34:38 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  antecLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.11
- B
  SecondhandvinylLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$7
- B
  HFT-PROLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.54
Solana Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 21:00:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up+$2.50
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.50
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.50
M15 Telavi: Valentino Grippo vs Bogdan Seleznev
Right
Tennis
Called
Valentino Grippo
Won
Valentino Grippo
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 09:49:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Valentino Grippo+$62.89
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Bogdan Seleznev-$78.69
- B
  Disguised-Pickax-FetusLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Valentino Grippo+$23.10
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 in September?
Wrong
Stocks
Called
No
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 13:51:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  thanksforplayinLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$232.95
- B
  PrimePenguinLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yes+$286.90
- B
  VibeyQuantLast traded 24 Sept 2026
  No-$60.98
Will A Just Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
71%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 15:25:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.66
- A
  merodLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.40
- B
  Unripe-WhiskerLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 22, 2026?
Right
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 16:59:30 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  smellyEllieLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.46
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$3.69
- B
  C6H6Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.58
Will Worksop Town FC win on 2026-09-22?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
43%
First observed: 22 Sept 2026, 23:26:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  omnibus-076daaLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$327.42
- A
  us391Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$442.14
- B
  OddstormLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$121.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 04:00:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$1.81
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up+$1.72
- B
  ErickaguilarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 22?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 22 Sept 2026, 16:28:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$5.83
- B
  0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8fH31F8b0F56B8dFa08ELast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$12.03
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 22?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 22:25:34 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  neo7777Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$4
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$2.18
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 22:49:14 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Bland-DynamiteLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$19.51
- A
  WeatherstappenLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$4.48
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$20.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7AM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 12:12:33 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  boggycryptomanLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Up+$12.80
- B
  mydreamsLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down-$9.51
- B
  goodfeedesignLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down-$8.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 07:01:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$3.79
- B
  not-epsteinLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$1
- B
  Periodic-MarketplaceLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.09
Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 02:28:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  pasporLast traded 8 Sept 2026
  No+$2.06
- B
  LukasburnerLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$1.54
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.65
Will Akhmat Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?
Right
Politics
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 09:07:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  0xzipperLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$2.80
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.91
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  No+$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 21?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 03:24:44 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Bland-DynamiteLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$26.84
- B
  OnlyLuckNoBrainLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$21.19
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$9.40
Will LDPR win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 06:50:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.17
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.63
- B
  em...wellLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Yes$0
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 76m?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 00:08:43 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aviatoLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$1.36
- B
  Mithrandir.Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$1.90
- B
  enderoneLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 16:29:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.94
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$2.96
- B
  SitiropikohLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$2.21
Will CPRF win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?
Wrong
Politics
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 15:25:16 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  e46m3Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.40
- B
  Unripe-WhiskerLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.85
- B
  em...wellLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 12:45:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  StayFocusLuiaLast traded 27 Sept 2026
  Down+$32.14
- B
  AnnoyingCobraLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up-$41.12
- B
  ErickaguilarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$5.96
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 02:49:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  zxcursed121Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.38
- B
  OldstreetLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$3.13
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.87
Will Trump say "Magnificent" this week?
No consensus
Politics
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 17:06:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  PlatykurticLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$5.13
- B
  oidocropLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$2.52
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yes+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 21?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 06:14:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Jubilant-PhraseLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$1.62
- B
  daegothLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.73
- B
  iliabouchouevLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.19
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?
No consensus
Politics
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 15:24:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  merodLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.40
- B
  Unripe-WhiskerLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.18
- B
  em...wellLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 00:35:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down-$7.03
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up+$3.03
- B
  dawangwang001Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$6
Will Yulia Yasaytis win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Right
Politics
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 12:49:12 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.27
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Yes-$2.41
- B
  OraculumNobiusLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.16
Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Wrong
Culture
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
20%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 20:56:15 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$70.25
- A
  ArmageddonRewardsBillyLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$64.83
- B
  marksmanLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$6.33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 22?
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Yes
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 16:13:30 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Impressive-SteakLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes+$1.70
- A
  coinfilippeLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No-$2.37
- A
  0xb6fe…7394Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  No-$0.23
Will Rosario Central win Copa Libertadores?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 02:28:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$1.41
- B
  pasporLast traded 8 Sept 2026
  Yes-$0.73
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.14
Will Cerro Porteño win Copa Libertadores?
No consensus
Soccer
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 02:28:02 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  korda77Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.81
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$0.92
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
No consensus
Crypto
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 08:20:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  std0Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Up-$7.04
- A
  quantbarbieLast traded 30 Sept 2026
  Down+$5.38
- A
  FairValueMachineLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.36
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on September 22?
Right
RUT
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 23:06:41 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  thanksforplayinLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$92
- A
  CamelUpLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  Down-$106.77
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Up+$15.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 22 Sept 2026, 01:31:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  averagerandommanLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.18
- B
  Periodic-MarketplaceLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$0.49
- B
  AnnoyingCobraLast traded 25 Sept 2026
  Up-$0.45

20,870 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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