Resolution reportTuesday, September 15, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets' accuracy

Report saved 5h ago

65%

1,352 right734 wrong

The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved: 24,791
No consensus: 22,705

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 22,563 provider closure; 2,228 first observed.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 15?
Wrong
DJI
Called
Up
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
14%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 22:43:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  thanksforplayinLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up-$232.06
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$214.47
- B
  jsbelLast traded 16 Sept 2026
  Down+$9.09
W15 Monastir: Amahee Charrier vs Meriem Ben Ezzedine
No consensus
Tennis
Won
Amahee Charrier
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 12:50:24 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Meriem Ben Ezzedine-$159.45
- B
  BlasdeLezo1492Last traded 30 Sept 2026
  Amahee Charrier+$131.59
- B
  kitopesivanLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Amahee Charrier+$19.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 22:45:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  mo-moneyLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down-$35.76
- B
  JontheoneLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$17.09
- B
  abcdefg888Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$10.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 3.5
Wrong
Baseball
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
78%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 02:17:40 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  HomeRunHazardLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$492.66
- S
  shoemanhereLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$69.72
- B
  degenmLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$570.58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 15?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 22:22:39 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  dumdumdumdumLast traded 29 Sept 2026
  No+$3.26
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.18
- B
  daegothLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 14?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 03:25:24 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  HighTempTationLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.05
- B
  sailor82Last traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$11.61
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.79
Set Handicap: Lloyd Harris (-1.5) vs Hayato Matsuoka (+1.5)
Right
Tennis
Called
Hayato Matsuoka
Won
Hayato Matsuoka
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 14:38:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Bagwell306Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Hayato Matsuoka+$90
- B
  WillythemvpLast traded 13 Sept 2026
  Lloyd Harris-$153
- B
  overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Hayato Matsuoka+$55.67
Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-09-15?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 20:52:49 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  FlaznorpLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.76
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.35
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 14?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 05:19:24 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  HighTempTationLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.08
- B
  Jubilant-PhraseLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$3.01
- B
  Meaty-PseudoscienceLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$1.51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 14?
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 04:12:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Impressive-SteakLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$605.88
- B
  getbippedLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$607.67
- B
  mingxyzLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$4.78
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 15?
Right
Stocks
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 20:17:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  grasstoucher69Last traded 2 Oct 2026
  Down+$1.38
- A
  referralfarmerLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  Down+$0.45
- B
  jsbelLast traded 16 Sept 2026
  Down+$4.67
Exact Score: América FC 2 - 3 São Bernardo FC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 03:14:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.83
- S
  RN1Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 15?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 16:32:48 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  windy-weatherLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$74.46
- B
  qqqppp-l1Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$67.73
- B
  0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8fH31F8b0F56B8dFa08ELast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.56
Dobias Ladislav vs. Kaderabek Ondrej
Wrong
Table Tennis
Called
Dobias Ladislav
Won
Kaderabek Ondrej
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 09:08:09 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Kaderabek Ondrej+$8.91
- A
  38791873984189Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Dobias Ladislav-$7.79
- A
  0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Dobias Ladislav-$6.41
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 15?
No consensus
Weather
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 16:29:24 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Bland-DynamiteLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$17.01
- B
  obakobakkLast traded 2 Oct 2026
  No+$10.90
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 15?
Wrong
Weather
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 15:22:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.61
- B
  alex20011Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$7.13
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.79
Exact Score: Johor Darul Ta'zim 3 - 0 Buriram United?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 16:18:32 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  FlaznorpLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$4.64
- S
  GC-PLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.16
- B
  daniilkenLast traded 1 Oct 2026
  No+$0.07
Will "The Pitt" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No consensus
Culture
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
0%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 05:56:52 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  merodLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$24.59
- B
  title1Last traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$19.19
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.52
Exact Score: Avaí FC 3 - 2 Vila Nova FC?
Right
Soccer
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
60%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 04:49:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  FlaznorpLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.60
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$4.03
- A
  LuckyLooLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$4.88
Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 22:54:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  SnakeBallLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$5.38
- S
  GC-PLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.87
- S
  NM-PLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.08
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Wrong
NFL
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 06:09:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  aHjCzLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.20
- B
  CorlysLast traded 6 Aug 2026
  Yes-$4.80
- B
  613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 14?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 06:15:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  curieLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$3.16
- B
  Novus0rdoSeclorumLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Yes-$8.95
- B
  sailor82Last traded 30 Sept 2026
  No+$1.86
Will the Cincinnati Reds clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Right
Baseball
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 05:05:13 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  Known-IcingLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.91
- B
  SpectrumLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.65
- B
  CosmicCedarLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.26
Verbianyi Vasyl vs. Molochko Anton
Wrong
Table Tennis
Called
Molochko Anton
Won
Verbianyi Vasyl
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 13:47:25 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Verbianyi Vasyl+$11.01
- A
  0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Molochko Anton-$8.11
- A
  38791873984189Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Molochko Anton-$6.65
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on September 14?
Right
Weather
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 08:16:19 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- B
  ghorrockLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$2.11
- B
  daegothLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  No+$0.90
- B
  Halfa-BetaLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.53
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 2 - 0 Pisa SC?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 22:59:28 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  GC-PLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$27.36
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$23.41
- B
  lbtradingLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$0.50
Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Right
Culture
Called
No
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 20:56:55 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  kyIiandictadorLast traded 28 Sept 2026
  No+$5.09
- B
  glm404.fundLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$2.24
- B
  KaupgaldrLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$0.17
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Down
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 15:55:54 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Down+$1
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 07:16:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 08:41:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Right
Crypto
Called
Up
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
100%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 11:01:27 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  Miserly-PoundLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- A
  Elated-LentilLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
- B
  Caring-MemoryLast traded 3 Oct 2026
  Up+$1
Rulc Lukas vs. Senk Jakub
Right
Table Tennis
Called
Rulc Lukas
Won
Rulc Lukas
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 09:21:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- A
  0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Senk Jakub-$34.05
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Rulc Lukas+$25.74
- A
  38791873984189Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Rulc Lukas+$5.91
Exact Score: Al Hilal SFC 1 - 1 Al Gharafa SC?
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Yes
Won
No
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
67%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 22:12:42 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$14.09
- B
  Carefree-SignificanceLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  No+$13.34
- B
  lbtradingLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Yes-$1.50
Ironi Tiberias vs. Hapoel Jerusalem FC: O/U 4.5
Right
Soccer
Called
Under
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
33%
First observed: 15 Sept 2026, 20:29:28 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  FlaznorpLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$9.45
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$6.88
- S
  qwe258Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$0.49
Solana Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Wrong
Crypto
Called
Down
Won
Up
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 02:20:57 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  Agile-SpacingLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down-$1.93
- A
  Caring-KingfishLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Up+$3.69
- A
  Stimulating-PowerLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Down-$0.71
Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: Al Nassr Club O/U 1.5
Wrong
Soccer
Called
Over
Won
Under
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
11%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 20:05:58 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  FlaznorpLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Under+$296.61
- S
  UpTheBluesLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$229.55
- B
  emacronLast traded 4 Oct 2026
  Over-$66.25
M25 Guiyang: Yue Xia vs Dong Kyu Lee
Wrong
Tennis
Called
Dong Kyu Lee
Won
Yue Xia
Profitable wallets
3
Confidence
50%
Provider closure: 15 Sept 2026, 05:28:37 UTC
Profitable wallets' positions
- S
  RN1Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Dong Kyu Lee-$1.22
- A
  0xc07Last traded 1 Oct 2026
  Yue Xia+$60.38
- A
  38791873984189Last traded 4 Oct 2026
  Dong Kyu Lee-$59.94

22,604 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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