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Resolution reportSunday, August 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,932 right846 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
29,119
No consensus
25,341

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 14,351 provider closure; 14,768 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Esports
    Won
    G2 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$911.92
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$864.08
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Yes-$498.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$9,351.44
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$9,035.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$4,279.41

  • Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-29?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Texas Rangers+$9,589.83
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Texas Rangers+$3,681.03
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Texas Rangers+$1,512

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$12,931.85
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$3,029.58
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Over+$1,209.48

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Atlanta Dream
    Won
    Atlanta Dream
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Lynx vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Lynx
    Won
    Team Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$5,388.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$4,751.92
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Under+$1,288

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Málaga CF
    Won
    Real Madrid CF
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Legacy
    Won
    Legacy
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$9,172.55
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$8,407.04
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$5,323.14

  • Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$4,616.71
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$3,022.83
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No-$1,952.50

  • Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-30?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$619.37
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$118.43
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$114.99

  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Optimus-Last traded
      Yes+$1,368.38
    • S
      GollumGekkoLast traded
      No-$1,127.12
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Yes+$873.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up+$249.91
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$192.89
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$149.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$204.93
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$163.33
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$153.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$3,923.64
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$3,514
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$2,687.26

  • Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Texas Rangers-$5,866.07
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Texas Rangers-$3,702.41
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Texas Rangers-$3,225.89

  • Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$10,905.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$10,370.05
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$3,755.36

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Mets

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Houston Astros+$2,946.05
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Houston Astros+$1,718.40
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Mets-$1,482.57

  • Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Misa Esports
    Won
    Misa Esports
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Klim Sani4
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

25,214 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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