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Resolution reportSunday, August 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,932 right846 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
29,119
No consensus
25,341

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 14,351 provider closure; 14,768 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Cloud9
    Won
    LYON
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$3,256.43
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$2,459.28
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$372.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down-$313.79
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$185.07
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$125.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$24,837.68
    • S
      Inferior-TrafficLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$11,878.10
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$5,241.37

  • Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Level UP
    Won
    Level UP
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Level UP vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Level UP
    Won
    Level UP
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Eyüpspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$2,076.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,194.28
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$588.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$433.64
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$319.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$244

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Talvez10Last traded
      Detroit Tigers-$8,054.34
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$4,690.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$4,084.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Alexander Shevchenko

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dino Prizmic
    Won
    Dino Prizmic
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dino Prizmic+$13,743.22
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Alexander Shevchenko-$6,900.55
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Dino Prizmic+$4,912.13

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$86.18
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$69.70
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$68.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CF América win on 2026-08-29?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$22,462.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$20,768.94
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$10,341.36

  • Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    98%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$4,739.38
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$3,744.71
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,659.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$521.41
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$370.36
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$255.51

  • Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$281.21
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$242.61
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$224.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$457.86
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$159.85
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down-$157.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open WTA: Talia Gibson vs Donna Vekic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Donna Vekic
    Won
    Donna Vekic
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$6,441.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$3,069.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$2,929.88

  • Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2
    Won
    G2
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Natus Vincere-$2,033.40
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      G2+$1,567.58
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      Natus Vincere+$1,107.69

  • Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Natus Vincere
    Won
    Natus Vincere
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Athletics-$2,579.99
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Athletics-$1,383.07
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Athletics-$1,217.68

  • CR Flamengo vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,330.83
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$2,152.90
    • S
      spendingmoneyLast traded
      Under-$1,045.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

25,214 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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