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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Anouk Koevermans

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anouk Koevermans
    Won
    Anouk Koevermans
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Andrew Fenty vs Luis Guto Miguel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Luis Guto Miguel
    Won
    Luis Guto Miguel
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Lynx
    Won
    Team Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ribalkaLast traded
      Inner Circle+$2,722.49
    • S
      GameGambleStakesLast traded
      Inner Circle+$1,157.19
    • S
      Sisyphus-Last traded
      Inner Circle+$1,006.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    DYNASTY
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Fortuna Sittard
    Won
    Fortuna Sittard
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$7,098.66
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$7,024.90
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,714.46

  • Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Fabian Marozsan
    Won
    James Duckworth
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      James Duckworth+$7,522.78
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      James Duckworth+$3,397.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Fabian Marozsan-$2,325.87

  • Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$2,495.61
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$2,466.94
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$1,748.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$235.80
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$103.06
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$97.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$5,172.63
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$4,907.74
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$4,585.90

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ninjas in Pyjamas
    Won
    Ninjas in Pyjamas
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    RE.Arise
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$423.91
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$216.70
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$216.28

  • Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Cezar Cretu
    Won
    Cezar Cretu
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cezar Cretu+$13,502.91
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cezar Cretu+$2,948.45
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Cezar Cretu+$1,782.74

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUBY
    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: STATE vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Ares
    Won
    G2 Ares
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    DYNASTY
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Contingent Esports
    Won
    Contingent Esports
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      University of Mississippi-$513.87
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Contingent Esports+$80.90
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Contingent Esports+$49.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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