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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$162.75
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$143.47
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down+$128.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$130.44
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$120.66
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down-$101.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    DYNASTY
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    VfB Stuttgart
    Won
    FC Bayern München
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      VfB Stuttgart-$4,498.78
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      VfB Stuttgart-$3,207.32
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      VfB Stuttgart-$2,917.58

  • Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Won
    Arthur Fery
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$4,654.75
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$1,253.67
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$686.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$352.97
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$239.21
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$208.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    University of Mississippi
    Won
    University of Mississippi
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      THEHIGHLIFELast traded
      University of Mississippi+$850.64
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      University of Mississippi+$335.37
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Contingent Esports-$70.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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