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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Down+$140.99
    • B
      zhuoyue123Last traded
      Up-$71.36
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$15.91

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Mariia Tkacheva vs Katarina Kujovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mariia Tkacheva
    Won
    Mariia Tkacheva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Katarina Kujovic-$46.75
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Mariia Tkacheva+$28.59
    • A
      LSS1Last traded
      Mariia Tkacheva+$48.97

  • Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$37.11
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Under+$11.01
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$0.21

  • Exact Score: Al Khaleej Saudi Club 0 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Nassr Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Nassr Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$15.22
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$8.92
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$23.65

  • Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Deportivo Alavés
    Won
    Deportivo Alavés
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      hi774cLast traded
      Villarreal CF-$70
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Deportivo Alavés+$9.96
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Deportivo Alavés+$3.08

  • Exact Score: Ansan Greeners FC 0 - 3 Daegu FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 3 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Won
    Team Phantasma
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$13.90
    • A
      AIlukaLast traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$55.39
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Team Phantasma-$14.93

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Torello (Spain), hard: Julia Garcia vs Stephanie Judith Visscher

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Julia Garcia
    Won
    Julia Garcia
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Baby" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      Yes-$40.94
    • B
      AiBirdLast traded
      No-$3.64
    • B
      tbyckLast traded
      No+$0.96

  • Gençlerbirliği SK leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Beijing Guoan FC
    Won
    Beijing Guoan FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Beijing Guoan FC+$60.43
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Beijing Guoan FC+$18.45
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Beijing Guoan FC+$8.23

  • Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Real Racing Club
    Won
    Real Racing Club
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Austria Lustenau win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 28?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$5.17
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$0.02
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$32.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ex-MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ODDIK
    Won
    ODDIK
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ansan Greeners FC vs. Daegu FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: EAC Extra vs FaZe Up Next - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EAC Extra
    Won
    EAC Extra
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$142.10
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Up-$83.99
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$29.46

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pecs (Hungary), clay: Trisztan Gubi vs John Hallquist Lithen

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    John Hallquist Lithen
    Won
    John Hallquist Lithen
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Trisztan Gubi-$56.98
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      John Hallquist Lithen+$33.79
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      John Hallquist Lithen+$22.11

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dewa United Esports
    Won
    Dewa United Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      owlgorithm-betaLast traded
      Dewa United Esports+$0.50
    • B
      ZhuxinLast traded
      Dewa United Esports+$30.50
    • B
      realalliLast traded
      Geek Fam ID-$6.91

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Wisla Plock vs. Korona Kielce: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Valentina Ryser vs Mara Guth

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valentina Ryser
    Won
    Valentina Ryser
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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