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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yokohama BayStars vs. Chunichi Dragons

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chunichi Dragons
    Won
    Yokohama BayStars
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Chunichi Dragons-$169.24
    • B
      Which-TextualLast traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$40.39
    • B
      PichurrinLast traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$29.91

  • Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Akron Tolyatti vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: PFK CSKA Moskva O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: EAC Extra vs FaZe Up Next (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    EAC Extra
    Won
    EAC Extra
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 1 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary 0 - 3 Ceramica Cleopatra Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$75.79
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$17.34
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$1.40

  • Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Torello (Spain), hard: Katarina 2001 Kuzmova vs Katherine Hui

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katarina 2001 Kuzmova
    Won
    Katarina 2001 Kuzmova
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Katherine Hui-$80.97
    • A
      VTL777Last traded
      Katarina 2001 Kuzmova+$115.34
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Katarina 2001 Kuzmova+$27.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shandong Taishan FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$238.40
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$29.64
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$15

  • Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MARKandLARRY
    Won
    MARKandLARRY
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. USL Dunkerque end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tamworth FC vs. Worthing FC end in a draw?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      No-$94.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$55.34
    • B
      kuuskiLast traded
      Yes+$163.85

  • Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jeonnam Dragons vs. Cheonan City FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: LV (-3.5)

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    LV
    Won
    SF
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ahli Doha SC vs. Lusail SC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Galway United FC vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Rodez Aveyron Football 1 - 0 Pau FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$30.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$6.98
    • B
      vortlLast traded
      Yes-$108.98

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$8.40
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$4.80
    • B
      YerimiiLast traded
      Up-$73.93

  • Exact Score: Estudiantes de La Plata 0 - 2 CA Barracas Central?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Trieste Women: Paula Ormaechea vs Iva Primorac

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Paula Ormaechea
    Won
    Paula Ormaechea
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Paula Ormaechea+$56.45
    • A
      Calm-IkebanaLast traded
      Paula Ormaechea+$4.93
    • B
      alpharomw1Last traded
      Paula Ormaechea+$1.65

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$158.07
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$115.22
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$59.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Akron Tolyatti vs. PFK CSKA Moskva end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$160.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$125.37
    • A
      Kuntro2Last traded
      Yes+$228

  • Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 3 - 0 Manchester City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$2.41
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No+$141.56
    • B
      42021Last traded
      No-$61

  • Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

    Right

    GDP

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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