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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Wasl FC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rodez Aveyron Football vs. Pau FC: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    THUNDER dOWNUNDER
    Won
    THUNDER dOWNUNDER
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-08-28?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Isurus
    Won
    Turma do Pagode
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Taawoun Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Taawoun Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Al Taawoun Saudi Club+$148.73
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Taawoun Saudi Club+$83
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Al Taawoun Saudi Club+$15.85

  • Spread: PFK CSKA Moskva (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Akron Tolyatti
    Won
    FK Akron Tolyatti
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FK Akron Tolyatti+$117.10
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      FK Akron Tolyatti+$20.21
    • A
      0x9f15…bdb3Last traded
      FK Akron Tolyatti+$60.54

  • Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Shanghai Shenhua FC
    Won
    Shanghai Shenhua FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      roberto73Last traded
      Shanghai Shenhua FC+$263.58
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Shanghai Shenhua FC+$19
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Shandong Taishan FC-$6.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Ansan Greeners FC 1 - 1 Daegu FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Legia Warszawa vs. WKS Slask Wroclaw: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$220.37
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$150.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$15.56

  • Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Groningen leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rams vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Under-$56.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$46.77
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under+$250.13

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pendikspor vs. Bandirmaspor: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$796.19
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$337.91
    • S
      romuluxLast traded
      Over-$94.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$100.32
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$85.70
    • B
      MuneerLast traded
      Under+$19

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Jest55Last traded
      No+$4.59
    • B
      42012Last traded
      Yes-$171.99
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Yes-$57.23

  • Exact Score: Dalian Yingbo FC 1 - 3 Beijing Guoan FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$539.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$98.63
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$79.05

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Marko Mesarovic vs Preston Stearns

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Preston Stearns
    Won
    Preston Stearns
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Preston Stearns+$88.08
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Preston Stearns+$83.99
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Preston Stearns+$34.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$180.82
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$10
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up+$16.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 2 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Allershausen (Germany), clay: Jakub Filip vs Nikolai Barsukov

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nikolai Barsukov
    Won
    Jakub Filip
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Nikolai Barsukov-$109.82
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nikolai Barsukov-$17.94
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Jakub Filip+$3.08

  • Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: ex-MIBR Academy (-1.5) vs MEIA NOITE (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Won
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Wisla Plock vs. Korona Kielce end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$257.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$39.78
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      No+$14.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?

    Wrong

    GDP

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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