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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$598.37
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$152.28
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$132.17

  • Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs Duckworth

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marozsan
    Won
    Marozsan
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vikingur Gota win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Aces at the Event?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$440.90
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$213.12
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$156.29

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 28?

    Wrong

    Finance

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$409.60
    • B
      42012Last traded
      Up-$164.97
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Down+$43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hiroshima Carp vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Tokyo Yakult Swallows
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Hiroshima Carp-$490
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Tokyo Yakult Swallows+$0.56
    • B
      PleaseNoCopyLast traded
      Tokyo Yakult Swallows+$7.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 15–20%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Cordoba: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Austria Lustenau vs. WSG Tirol: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$454.86
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$0.28
    • A
      whynotchocolateLast traded
      Over+$3.01

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 20–25%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      No+$11.42
    • A
      probabilityLast traded
      No-$379.82
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$90.53

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Robert Guna vs Vlad Cristian Breazu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Won
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vlad Cristian Breazu+$716.49
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Robert Guna-$202.59
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Vlad Cristian Breazu-$5.31

  • Rams vs. Chargers: 1H Moneyline

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Rams
    Won
    Rams
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jeonnam Dragons vs. Cheonan City FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Peladona
    Won
    Peladona
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 28?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      rocky42011Last traded
      Down+$354.23
    • B
      wagonwheelLast traded
      Down+$69.12
    • B
      jsbelLast traded
      Down-$32.76

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Southend United FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$322.69
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$33.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$13.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Oliver Okonkwo vs Felix Corwin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Felix Corwin
    Won
    Oliver Okonkwo
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Felix Corwin-$270.30
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Felix Corwin-$128.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Felix Corwin-$15.35

  • Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$8.37
    • B
      whispercatalystLast traded
      Yes+$298.63
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      Yes+$12.78

  • Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Birmingham City FC
    Won
    Birmingham City FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Birmingham City FC+$142.84
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Birmingham City FC+$137.49
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Birmingham City FC+$25.15

  • Club Bolívar leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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