Skip to content
Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
2,286 right722 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
12,115

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Athletic Club
    Won
    Athletic Club
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SC Freiburg
    Won
    SC Freiburg
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Motherwell FC-$4,704.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Motherwell FC-$4,573.96
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Motherwell FC+$809.80

  • Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,693.94
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$3,481.44
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes-$3,444.65

  • Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$2,380.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$793.75
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$785.15

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Over-$3,665.17
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Under+$3,360.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,992.67

  • Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$147.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$59.87
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$48.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Tromsø IL
    Won
    Brighton & Hove Albion FC
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Tromsø IL-$37,912.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tromsø IL-$13,574.05
    • S
      RegardedMoneyLast traded
      Brighton & Hove Albion FC+$10,799.90

  • Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,691.52
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,999.72
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,044.06

  • Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,830.34
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$778.01
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$565.12

  • Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,247.46
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$507.58
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$420

  • FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$66.35
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$50.55
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down+$38.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Esports
    Won
    Inner Circle Esports
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Overtake
    Won
    Overtake
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      humbleboyLast traded
      NuTorious-$1,403.54
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      NuTorious-$932.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Overtake+$292.22

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Gabriela Knutson vs Ekaterine Gorgodze

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabriela Knutson
    Won
    Gabriela Knutson
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    9z
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Luton Town FC
    Won
    Luton Town FC
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Luton Town FC+$41,926.27
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Chelsea FC-$3,411.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chelsea FC-$2,454.49

  • Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,536.76
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$2,403.60
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$1,275.28

  • Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Martin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aidan Mayo
    Won
    Aidan Mayo
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$216.52
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$79.50
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: Max Basing vs Charles Broom

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Charles Broom
    Won
    Charles Broom
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 30,216 more positions across 2,521 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs