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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
2,286 right722 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
12,115

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$192.53
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$93.67
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$80.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VD721lsj4938Dk388Last traded
      Yes+$7,669.95
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,186.54
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,600

  • Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$431.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$419
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No-$394.80

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Robin Montgomery

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Carson Branstine
    Won
    Robin Montgomery
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Robin Montgomery+$3,096.21
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Carson Branstine-$1,475.47
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Robin Montgomery+$1,204.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$11,173.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$8,401.11
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$4,320

  • Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$6,263.98
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,992.59
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,810.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
    Won
    KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      arm1337Last traded
      7REX-$199.05
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+$129.85
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+$101.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$429.33
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$328.95
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$268.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$220.36
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$85.25
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$78.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$245.22
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$160.54
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$143.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$92.81
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$88.86
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$73.14

  • FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$4,545.06
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$3,149.36
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$3,049.14

  • Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia Costoulas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Elvina Kalieva
    Won
    Elvina Kalieva
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Elvina Kalieva+$3,053.17
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Elvina Kalieva+$2,591.29
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Elvina Kalieva+$2,441.71

  • Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 30,216 more positions across 2,521 markets on this day.

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