Skip to content
Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
2,286 right722 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
12,115

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$429.27
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$214.97
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$110.70

  • Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Johannus Monday
    Won
    Michele Ribecai
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Red Bull Salzburg
    Won
    FC Red Bull Salzburg
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Red Bull Salzburg+$4,300
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC Red Bull Salzburg+$4,031.75
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FC Red Bull Salzburg+$1,289.76

  • Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    AFC Ajax
    Won
    AFC Ajax
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      AFC Ajax+$9,809.67
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Sion-$1,474.04
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      AFC Ajax+$1,112.50

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Seong-Chan Hong

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tristan Schoolkate
    Won
    Tristan Schoolkate
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Seong-Chan Hong-$6,259.31
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Tristan Schoolkate-$5,142.64
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Seong-Chan Hong-$1,903.13

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs QUB (BO3) - United21 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    QUB
    Won
    QUB
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$443.74
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$223.78
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up+$220.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$58.22
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$30.96
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$22.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Monterrey Open: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Panna Udvardy
    Won
    Elise Mertens
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Elise Mertens-$6,264.07
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Panna Udvardy-$1,816.57
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Panna Udvardy-$1,034.06

  • Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,549.76
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,449.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,334.93

  • Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-27?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Nemesis
    Won
    Team Nemesis
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$177.45
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$146.84
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$126

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 30,216 more positions across 2,521 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs