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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
2,286 right722 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
12,115

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$723.54
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$297.19
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$135.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$380.75
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$192.15
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$122.03

  • Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Hynek Barton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benito Sanchez Martinez
    Won
    Benito Sanchez Martinez
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez+$98,119.66
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez+$10,887.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez+$6,205.08

  • Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$4,762.91
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes-$3,970.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,346.12

  • FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$6,666.49
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over-$2,430.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$2,384.55

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Lola Radivojevic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kristina Liutova
    Won
    Kristina Liutova
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$343.42
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$230.45
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$148.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$687.08
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$627.42
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$380.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$154.16
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$110.96
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$57.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Vitaliy Sachko
    Won
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Pablo Llamas Ruiz+$15,709.19
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vitaliy Sachko-$8,189.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Vitaliy Sachko-$3,227.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-26?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$16,278.31
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$15,147.19
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$5,849.89

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$16,271.73
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Colorado Rockies+$4,200
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Washington Nationals-$2,001.21

  • LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 NORD
    Won
    G2 NORD
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BIG
    Won
    G2 NORD
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles+$7,496.55
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$7,050.89
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$5,278.84

  • Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago White Sox-$2,994.24
    • S
      monkeymashingkeyboardLast traded
      Texas Rangers-$1,624.52
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$1,231.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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