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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: China (-15.5)

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    Qatar
    Won
    China
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Color vs X-CITY - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    X-CITY
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lexington SC win on 2026-08-26?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lodis
    Won
    Lodis
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Lodis+$7.96
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Lodis+$5.13
    • A
      ocssLast traded
      Lodis+$177.19

  • Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Teletubisie - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    B8 Academy
    Won
    B8 Academy
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Atlético Nacional vs. AD Cali end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$503.67
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$320.08
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$224.08

  • CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$62.65
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$45.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$33.62

  • LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lodis
    Won
    Lodis
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Valeriya Strakhova vs Luisa Hrda

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valeriya Strakhova
    Won
    Valeriya Strakhova
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Luisa Hrda-$296.26
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Valeriya Strakhova+$94.07
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luisa Hrda-$66.03

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Vladyslav Orlov vs Borys Zgola

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vladyslav Orlov
    Won
    Vladyslav Orlov
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Borys Zgola-$427.03
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Vladyslav Orlov+$225.90
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Vladyslav Orlov+$59.71

  • Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Team to Advance

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Hibernian FC
    Won
    KAA Gent
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 13 (Serbia), clay: Leonid Sheyngezikht vs Antoni Fabre

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Antoni Fabre
    Won
    Antoni Fabre
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      Yes+$3.77
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$2.32
    • A
      yen4uLast traded
      Yes+$1.37

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Baltimore Orioles-$466.50
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$295.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$293.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Valentina Ryser vs Liv Boulard

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valentina Ryser
    Won
    Valentina Ryser
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Liv Boulard-$174.25
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Liv Boulard-$135.73
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Valentina Ryser+$109.35

  • Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

    Wrong

    World

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ODDIK
    Won
    ODDIK
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Satisfactory8Last traded
      NightBirds+$51.92
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      NightBirds+$10.57
    • A
      ocssLast traded
      NightBirds+$47.98

  • Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SK Iberia 1999
    Won
    SK Iberia 1999
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      SK Iberia 1999+$107.52
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok-$60.24
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      SK Iberia 1999+$22.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$119.33
    • B
      nezha9Last traded
      Down-$274.86
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Up+$125.99

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$809.35
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Baltimore Orioles+$455.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles+$438.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$32.55
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Over+$0.97
    • A
      SofiazinhaLast traded
      Over+$14.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs DIA Ozarox Esports (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    DIA Ozarox Esports
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yokohama BayStars
    Won
    Yokohama BayStars
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Dimkov27Last traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$38.83
    • B
      WaitimcookingLast traded
      Hiroshima Carp-$141.68
    • B
      Which-TextualLast traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$83.66

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 27?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      No+$5.44
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.38
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      No+$31.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$45.14
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Up+$5
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Down-$58.82

  • GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Ferencvárosi TC 1 - 3 Trabzonspor?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$27.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$18.56
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$17.77

  • Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    paiN Academy
    Won
    paiN Academy
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Won
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      AIlukaLast traded
      GnG Amazigh-$124.45
    • A
      Icky-FrostingLast traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$48.14
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$30

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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