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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ALKA GAMING
    Won
    ALKA GAMING
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 5?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$613.65
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$143.21
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$146.70

  • FC Thun vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$227.84
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$209.92
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$6.67

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$209.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$186.55
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$39.44

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Butterfly
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Shamrock Rovers FC
    Won
    Shamrock Rovers FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will El Paso Locomotive FC win on 2026-08-26?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      theZok1Last traded
      Yes+$160.43
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$119.34
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Yes+$367.09

  • AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Marsborne
    Won
    Marsborne
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$235.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$109.21
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$51.20

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Kasidit Samrej vs Kai I Wang

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kasidit Samrej
    Won
    Kasidit Samrej
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Peak Agency vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yawara Esports
    Won
    Yawara Esports
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$170.94
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$120.67
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Over+$0.96

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gr5qxLast traded
      Under-$87.96
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Over+$0.69
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Under-$75.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Tauson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tauson
    Won
    Tauson
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: EKO Esports vs TITANS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TITANS
    Won
    TITANS
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$237.64
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$22.22
    • A
      0x0770Last traded
      Over+$2.02

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

    Right

    World

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No-$217.68
    • S
      foxchaserLast traded
      Yes+$79.25
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$32.47

  • Germany vs. Netherlands

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Germany
    Won
    Germany
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Germany+$304.03
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Netherlands-$186.11
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      Germany+$109.99

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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