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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Bebop
    Won
    Revise
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$200.63
    • S
      whigLast traded
      No-$163.85
    • S
      GollumGekkoLast traded
      No-$84.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kristina Liutova
    Won
    Kristina Liutova
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$2,699.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,281.35
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      No+$453.74

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Guido Justo
    Won
    Hugo Gaston
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dynasty
    Won
    Dynasty
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes vs Gabi Boitan

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabi Boitan
    Won
    Inaki Montes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Peladona
    Won
    Peladona
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$1,999.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,899.80
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,602.45

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NEC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,534.59
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$170.20
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$165.61

  • Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    5star
    Won
    5star
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    97%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$4,105.93
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,394.52
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,059.12

  • Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$4,114.66
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      No-$580.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$549.83

  • Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      cruzzzzLast traded
      Over+$10,164.83
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Over+$4,950.06
    • S
      roundtrippedLast traded
      Over+$4,543.62

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$4,047.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,214.49
    • S
      NordhavenCapLast traded
      Yes-$828.41

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Won
    Timofey Skatov
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gilles Arnaud Bailly-$1,287.27
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Gilles Arnaud Bailly-$839.99
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Gilles Arnaud Bailly-$820.63

  • Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masur

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Masur
    Won
    Daniel Masur
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Won
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer+$2,699.27
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer+$2,039.75
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer-$1,954.09

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,276.10
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$933.83
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$713.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$102.71
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$102
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$56.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$90.66
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$87
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$81.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
    Won
    Luka Mikrut
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      Luka Mikrut+$21,965.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo-$8,787.04
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Luka Mikrut+$2,603.33

  • Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$5,236.35
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,749.39
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,338.38

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Seattle Mariners+$1,064.96
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Seattle Mariners+$694.51
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Seattle Mariners+$674.33

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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