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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Jodie Burrage vs Guiomar Maristany

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Guiomar Maristany
    Won
    Guiomar Maristany
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Guiomar Maristany+$9,925.25
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Guiomar Maristany+$7,480.37
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Guiomar Maristany+$5,110

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Annika Penickova
    Won
    Martyna Kubka
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Annika Penickova-$8,753.55
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Annika Penickova-$7,651.48
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Martyna Kubka-$3,772.41

  • Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      roundtrippedLast traded
      Over 2.5+$2,772
    • S
      StavensonLast traded
      Under 2.5-$2,247.21
    • S
      whigLast traded
      Over 2.5+$1,968.61

  • Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    summer bear
    Won
    Spirit Academy
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Viktoria Hruncakova
    Won
    Viktoria Hruncakova
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Viktoria Hruncakova+$1,347.05
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Viktoria Hruncakova+$1,126.17
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Viktoria Hruncakova+$840

  • Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$208.28
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$99.31
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$98.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Braden Shick vs Clement Tabur

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Braden Shick
    Won
    Braden Shick
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Darja Vidmanova
    Won
    Darja Vidmanova
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Darja Vidmanova+$10,233.84
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Darja Vidmanova+$8,993.53
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Darja Vidmanova+$3,873.34

  • Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    PuckChamp
    Won
    PuckChamp
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Alastair Gray

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    George Loffhagen
    Won
    George Loffhagen
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Won
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      Spartans EU-$123.50
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Spartans EU-$49.68
    • A
      lma0o0o0oLast traded
      Spartans EU-$1,724.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Zeu5 Esports
    Won
    Zeu5 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$11,756.31
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4,866.40
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      No+$1,793.54

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katie Swan
    Won
    Katie Swan
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Aidan Kim vs Garrett Johns

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Aidan Kim
    Won
    Garrett Johns
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Aidan Kim-$9,141.14
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Garrett Johns+$1,415.66
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Aidan Kim-$1,387.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$121.69
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$91.45
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$71.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$856.04
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$462.20
    • A
      beeemwLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$10,058.52

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mona Barthel
    Won
    Mona Barthel
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Mona Barthel+$1,950
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Mona Barthel+$1,896.99
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Mona Barthel+$1,169.69

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Christopher O'Connell
    Won
    Christopher O'Connell
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Christopher O'Connell-$5,424.90
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis-$932.80
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis-$605.60

  • Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anton Matusevich
    Won
    Anton Matusevich
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,814.36
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$624.51
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$365.91

  • LoL: RMD Gaming vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    RMD Gaming
    Won
    RMD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DOCISK
    Won
    DOCISK
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Cruz Hewitt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arthur Fery
    Won
    Arthur Fery
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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