Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$51.53
    • A
      NotJumpLast traded
      No+$80
    • A
      Car-cLast traded
      No+$46.02
  • Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Valentin Vanta
    Won
    Valentin Vanta
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luca Giordano+$76.26
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Valentin Vanta+$28.16
    • B
      0xf8e4…3b32Last traded
      Valentin Vanta+$34.92
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$107.91
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$4.39
    • A
      lelimarketLast traded
      Down+$38.21
  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$74.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$36.19
    • A
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      No-$62.73
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Vitalem Aerem
    Won
    Vitalem Aerem
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No+$6.34
    • A
      shanze8Last traded
      No+$4.94
    • A
      bhuumiLast traded
      No+$1.77
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$74.90
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$12
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.60
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    BRUTE
    Won
    eSuba
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$73.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$19.99
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$10
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Xirui Han
    Won
    Xirui Han
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Won
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Saitama Seibu Lions+$291.69
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Nippon Ham Fighters-$85.14
    • A
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Saitama Seibu Lions+$43.94
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$6.17
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Under+$0.26
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Over-$95.58
  • Will MrBeast's next video get at least 57 million views on day 3?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 24 2026?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.