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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 2 - 2 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Auda Riga vs. FK Liepaja: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The ParadOx Invaders - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WLGaming Esports
    Won
    WLGaming Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Top End T20 Series: New Zealand A vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy
    Won
    Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Vahan88Last traded
      New Zealand A-$374.22
    • A
      SATHISHRKOLast traded
      Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy+$56.65
    • A
      ChristopherMoneymakerLast traded
      Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy+$1.07

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cambridge United FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Bucharest 3 Men: Anas Mazdrashki vs Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anas Mazdrashki
    Won
    Anas Mazdrashki
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Anas Mazdrashki+$192.65
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Anas Mazdrashki+$25.50
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Anas Mazdrashki+$17.73

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 1 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$82.99
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$45.78
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$40.12

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Monastir 27 Men: Toby Martin vs Mathys Domenc

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mathys Domenc
    Won
    Mathys Domenc
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Mathys Domenc-$20.45
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Mathys Domenc+$128.36
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Mathys Domenc+$32.97

  • Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Bucharest 3 Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Daniele Minighini vs Hugo Maurice

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Vito Antonio Darderi vs Lautaro Rocha

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vito Antonio Darderi
    Won
    Vito Antonio Darderi
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parkan312Last traded
      Lautaro Rocha+$103.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vito Antonio Darderi-$8.02
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Vito Antonio Darderi+$139.12

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Reading FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Fair-TanLast traded
      Yes+$11.83
    • B
      oddsjackLast traded
      Yes+$221.62
    • B
      qqqppp-l1Last traded
      No-$46.97

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.23
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes-$185.74
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No+$28.42

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Blackpool FC vs. Lincoln City FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Poznan Men: Dawid Lewandowski vs Uladzislau Tarasevich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Uladzislau Tarasevich
    Won
    Uladzislau Tarasevich
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Uladzislau Tarasevich+$147.97
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Uladzislau Tarasevich+$5.80
    • B
      qrupLast traded
      Uladzislau Tarasevich+$13.50

  • Exact Score: Valencia CF 3 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$240.09
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$33.79
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$30.65

  • Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 2 NEC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$80.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$21.17
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Yes-$73.87

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$44.53
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$20.55
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      No+$83.16

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: LASK Linz 3 - 3 Celtic FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$51
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$43.87
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$36.05

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Mattias Southcombe vs Suk Ann

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Suk Ann
    Won
    Suk Ann
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Suk Ann+$31.64
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Suk Ann+$43.08
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Suk Ann+$35.31

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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