Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 82% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 16,862
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedYes+$3.70
- S-JB-Last tradedYes+$0.31
- AGluedLast tradedYes+$51.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$67.37
- Bedward0208Last tradedUp+$244.36
- BHonest-EarthquakeLast tradedDown-$105.64
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$13,320.39
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$330.69
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$87.87
- ScurieLast tradedNo-$30.65
- AaapangLast tradedYes+$4,545.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedYes-$4,422.35
- SrushiyaLast tradedNo+$9.51
- AqrupLast tradedNo+$262.20
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 90%
- Called
- CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Won
- Nuclear TigeRES
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 89%
Profitable wallets' positions- Svibing123Last tradedCYBERSHOKE Esports-$1,716.07
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCYBERSHOKE Esports-$279.48
- Smdepay1Last tradedCYBERSHOKE Esports-$98.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedOver-$2,336.55
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$209.77
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$125.75
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$1,222.19
- S0xheavy888Last tradedUnder+$499.80
- Sic4creamLast tradedUnder+$292.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$1,171.49
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$420.27
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$77.54
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$323.02
- Szxc368Last tradedOver+$48.83
- Afxwd12345Last tradedOver+$305.01
- Called
- Mai Hontama
- Won
- Mai Hontama
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMai Hontama+$1,137.95
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedMai Hontama+$119.54
- SBillBenter2026Last tradedMai Hontama+$111.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sameisgoat11Last tradedUnder-$32.29
- AbeeepbeepLast tradedUnder+$605.87
- Anascent1134513Last tradedUnder+$180.77
- Called
- Nicola Senn
- Won
- Victor Barreira Bonzom
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNicola Senn-$332.98
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNicola Senn-$136.39
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedVictor Barreira Bonzom+$1.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$983.74
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$34.64
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$32.91
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$300.97
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$141.29
- Szxc368Last tradedYes+$0.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$231.36
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$189.45
- ABreakTheBankLast tradedUnder-$11,459.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$371.25
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$1,039.07
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown+$331.21
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$543.95
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$318.49
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder-$84.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 89%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$581.82
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$78.24
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$73.16
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$674.80
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$265.23
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$69.41
- Called
- Despina Papamichail
- Won
- Despina Papamichail
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedDespina Papamichail+$1,515.95
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedLaura Pigossi-$1,257.96
- AqrupLast tradedDespina Papamichail+$508.29
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$76.42
- SBetyourselfLast tradedOver+$73.71
- AkitopesivanLast tradedOver+$24.21
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$389.18
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$368.06
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver-$55.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBetyourselfLast tradedYes-$9.80
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$9.61
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$5.79
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$34.93
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$27.94
- APontiusPilateLast tradedNo+$54.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedYes-$59.80
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$334.73
- AHumiliating-GrandfatherLast tradedYes-$200
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$661.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$483.34
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$8.38
- Called
- Leo Team
- Won
- Leo Team
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$79.88
- Bedward0208Last tradedDown-$653.78
- BzzaazzooLast tradedDown-$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$20.34
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$761.28
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$6.55
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$725.57
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedYes+$99.29
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$20.63
Spread: TEN (-2.5)
Wrong- Called
- SEA
- Won
- TEN
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSEA-$734.99
- SRN1Last tradedTEN+$526.11
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedSEA-$436.08
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$625.29
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$392
- SgaclfzLast tradedOver+$4.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$320
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$135.45
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedUnder+$662.04
- Called
- Remy Bertola
- Won
- Remy Bertola
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLilybaeumLast tradedRemy Bertola+$109.22
- SghostorderLast tradedRemy Bertola+$21.91
- Alustra123Last tradedAlejandro Moro Canas-$600
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$136.67
- APaul973973Last tradedOver+$22.42
- AmatsukaLast tradedOver+$15.20
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$173.73
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$2.43
- ACrazyDeLaCaksLast tradedUnder+$75.02
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sforecastication4Last tradedUnder+$1,207.79
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUnder+$988
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$72.52
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCypyaLast tradedOver+$734.37
- SrushiyaLast tradedOver+$1.27
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$77.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$256.94
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$24.49
- Bedward0208Last tradedUp-$912.45
- Called
- Mia Pohankova
- Won
- Mia Pohankova
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 90%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMia Pohankova+$469.28
- SRN1Last tradedMia Pohankova+$17.72
- SBillBenter2026Last tradedMia Pohankova+$11.97
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedNo+$213.59
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$102.23
- SsentrioLast tradedNo+$26.33
- Called
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Won
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCincinnati Reds-$1,148.62
- SRN1Last tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$348.44
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$281.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUp0nlyLast tradedYes-$204.64
- Aerrormargin3Last tradedYes-$645.70
- AasakkuLast tradedNo+$260.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 24?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ADreamwalkerLast tradedNo+$116.37
- AviniiLast tradedNo-$3.58
- BCait37Last tradedYes+$209.16
- Called
- British Columbia Lions
- Won
- British Columbia Lions
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSaskatchewan Roughriders-$595.74
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBritish Columbia Lions+$478.85
- BDimSumConnoisseur.Last tradedBritish Columbia Lions+$859.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedYes+$374.86
- SWagerWizardLast tradedYes+$74.20
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$67.91
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$133.63
- SLilybaeumLast tradedUnder+$31.21
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver+$10.67
16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.